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Stadium Background

Democrata SL vs Patrocinense

Brazil Brazil

Mineiro 2 Estadio Joaquim Henrique Nogueira (Jacare), Sete Lagoas
Democrata SL Logo

Democrata SL

2 - 1
FT
Patrocinense Logo

Patrocinense

Our Tip

Match Events

53' Event
Gustavinho
78' Event
Gustavinho
85' Event
Mayco Felix
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-1. The second leg ended 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

68%
Democrata SL
15%
Draws
17%
Patrocinense
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Democrata SL

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / High Confidence
  • Democrata SL carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Democrata SL's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Democrata SL have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Democrata SL, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Democrata SL Clean Sheet 68%
Patrocinense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Democrata SL Patrocinense
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 8
Draws 9 6
Losses 7 16
Goals Scored 1.43 0.67
Goals Conceded 0.87 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 Mineiro 2
Democrata SL vs Patrocinense
2:1
Jul 19, 2026 Mineiro 2
Patrocinense vs Democrata SL
1:4
Jul 27, 2025 Mineiro 2
Patrocinense vs Democrata SL
1:1
Jul 5, 2025 Mineiro 2
Democrata SL vs Patrocinense
1:0
Apr 8, 2023 Mineiro
Democrata SL vs Patrocinense
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Democrata SL Compare

Top Goalscorer Gustavinho
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Patrocinense Compare

Top Goalscorer Mayco Felix
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Democrata SL 95 / 100
Patrocinense 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Democrata SL Patrocinense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Democrata SL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Democrata SL scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Patrocinense's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Democrata SL went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Democrata SL VS Patrocinense
1.88 Goals Scored 0.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Democrata SL

(Home)
15 Aug
Democrata SL
1 : 3
Villa Nova AC
12 Aug
Villa Nova AC
0 : 1
Democrata SL
08 Aug
Democrata SL
3 : 1
Mamore
02 Aug
Mamore
1 : 2
Democrata SL
25 Jul
Democrata SL
2 : 1
Patrocinense
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Patrocinense

(Away)
25 Jul
Democrata SL
2 : 1
Patrocinense
19 Jul
Patrocinense
1 : 4
Democrata SL
12 Jul
Mamore
1 : 0
Patrocinense
04 Jul
Patrocinense
0 : 1
Guarani-MG
01 Jul
Caldense
1 : 2
Patrocinense
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Uberaba 1
Mamore 2
Democrata SL 6
Patrocinense 2
Valeriodoce 1
Villa Nova AC 2
Boa 1
Aymores 3
Semi-finals
Mamore 2
Democrata SL 5
Villa Nova AC 4
Aymores 3
Final
Democrata SL 2
Villa Nova AC 3