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Democrata SL vs Patrocinense

Brazil Brazil

Mineiro 2 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

68' Event
Marlon Lopes

AI Match Summary

The Mineiro 2 2025 game between Democrata SL and Patrocinense finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Democrata SL.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Democrata SL
6%
Draws
4%
Patrocinense
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Democrata SL

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Democrata SL carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Democrata SL a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.4%
Democrata SL Clean Sheet 68%
Patrocinense Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Democrata SL Patrocinense
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 11 8
Draws 9 6
Losses 11 16
Goals Scored 1.88 1
Goals Conceded 0.88 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 19, 2026 Mineiro 2
Patrocinense vs Democrata SL
1:4
Jul 27, 2025 Mineiro 2
Patrocinense vs Democrata SL
1:1
Jul 5, 2025 Mineiro 2
Democrata SL vs Patrocinense
1:0
Apr 8, 2023 Mineiro
Democrata SL vs Patrocinense
0:0
Mar 12, 2023 Mineiro
Patrocinense vs Democrata SL
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Democrata SL Compare

Top Goalscorer Marlon Lopes
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Patrocinense Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Democrata SL 95 / 100
Patrocinense 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Democrata SL Patrocinense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DSL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Democrata SL found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (31 games).

Patrocinense's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Democrata SL went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Democrata SL VS Patrocinense
1.88 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Democrata SL

(Home)
19 Jul
Patrocinense
1 : 4
Democrata SL
12 Jul
Aymores
2 : 2
Democrata SL
04 Jul
Democrata SL
5 : 0
Ipatinga
01 Jul
Valeriodoce
1 : 0
Democrata SL
27 Jun
Democrata SL
1 : 0
Coimbra Esporte Clube
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Patrocinense

(Away)
19 Jul
Patrocinense
1 : 4
Democrata SL
12 Jul
Mamore
1 : 0
Patrocinense
04 Jul
Patrocinense
0 : 1
Guarani-MG
01 Jul
Caldense
1 : 2
Patrocinense
28 Jun
Patrocinense
0 : 1
Uberaba
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League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1URT33003:09
2Ipatinga31111:14
3Mamore40130:31
Promotion - Mineiro 2 2025 (Super final)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1North Esporte Clube42203:18
2Democrata SL41302:16
3Patrocinense40132:51
Promotion - Mineiro 2 2025 (Super final)