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Democrata SL vs Serranense

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Mineiro 2 2018
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AI Match Summary

Democrata SL in this Campeonato Mineiro 2 2018 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Democrata SL.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

69%
Democrata SL
20%
Draws
11%
Serranense
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Democrata SL

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / High Confidence
  • Democrata SL have won more games recently than Serranense.
  • Win probability leans Democrata SL's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Campeonato Mineiro 2 2018 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Democrata SL Clean Sheet 20%
Serranense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Democrata SL Serranense
Matches Played 37 38
Wins 19 9
Draws 10 7
Losses 8 22
Goals Scored 1.43 1.05
Goals Conceded 0.81 1.84
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 10, 2021 Mineiro 2
Democrata SL vs Serranense
1:0
Oct 31, 2020 Mineiro 2
Democrata SL vs Serranense
1:2
Mar 2, 2019 Mineiro 2
Serranense vs Democrata SL
4:2
Apr 7, 2018 Mineiro 2
Democrata SL vs Serranense
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Democrata SL 85 / 100
Serranense 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Democrata SL Serranense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Democrata SL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.25 goals.

Democrata SL found the back of the net in 78% of recent matches (37 games).

Defensive concern: Serranense conceded in 79% of 38 recent games.

Democrata SL has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Democrata SL VS Serranense
1.5 Goals Scored 0.75
1 Goals Conceded 3
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Democrata SL

(Home)
15 Aug
Democrata SL
1 : 3
Villa Nova AC
12 Aug
Villa Nova AC
0 : 1
Democrata SL
08 Aug
Democrata SL
3 : 1
Mamore
02 Aug
Mamore
1 : 2
Democrata SL
25 Jul
Democrata SL
2 : 1
Patrocinense
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Serranense

(Away)
11 Oct
Serranense
0 : 1
Boston City
05 Oct
Coimbra Esporte Clube
6 : 1
Serranense
27 Sept
Serranense
2 : 2
Tupi-MG
20 Sept
Novo Esporte
3 : 0
Serranense
06 Sept
Serranense
0 : 0
Uniao Luziense
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