Sport Picks
Democrata SL vs Villa Nova AC
Brazil
Mineiro 2 Estadio Joaquim Henrique Nogueira (Jacare), Sete Lagoas 
Match Events
45'
45'
Rocha B.
45'
45'
Marcelo Macola
84'
84'
Adiel
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 1-3. The second leg ended 1-3.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
46%
15%
39%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Democrata SL
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
46%
/ Medium Confidence
- Villa Nova AC haven't matched Democrata SL's recent run of results.
- 46% — that's where the model lands on Democrata SL taking it.
- Democrata SL have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Villa Nova AC, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Democrata SL Clean Sheet 68%
Villa Nova AC Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Democrata SL | Villa Nova AC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 14 | 9 |
| Draws | 9 | 6 |
| Losses | 7 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.43 | 1.1 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.87 | 1.53 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 15, 2026 Mineiro 2
Democrata SL vs Villa Nova AC
1:3
Aug 12, 2026 Mineiro 2
Villa Nova AC vs Democrata SL
0:1
Jun 24, 2026 Mineiro 2
Democrata SL vs Villa Nova AC
1:0
Jun 21, 2026 Mineiro 2
Villa Nova AC vs Democrata SL
2:1
Feb 4, 2023 Mineiro
Democrata SL vs Villa Nova AC
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Democrata SL Compare
Top Goalscorer Marcelo Macola
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72
Villa Nova AC Compare
Top Goalscorer Rocha B.
1 Goals Assists Leader Adiel
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Democrata SL 59 / 100
Villa Nova AC 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Democrata SL Villa Nova AC
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Democrata SL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Democrata SL scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.
Villa Nova AC has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.
Games between these two average 2.00 goals.
Recent resilience: Democrata SL stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Democrata SL VS Villa Nova AC
2 Goals Scored 1.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Democrata SL
(Home) 15 Aug
Democrata SL
1 : 3 Villa Nova AC
12 Aug
Villa Nova AC
0 : 1 Democrata SL
08 Aug
Democrata SL
3 : 1 Mamore
02 Aug
Mamore
1 : 2 Democrata SL
25 Jul
Democrata SL
2 : 1 Patrocinense
Page 1 of 6
15 Aug
Democrata SL
1 : 3 Villa Nova AC
08 Aug
Democrata SL
3 : 1 Mamore
25 Jul
Democrata SL
2 : 1 Patrocinense
04 Jul
Democrata SL
5 : 0 Ipatinga
27 Jun
Democrata SL
1 : 0 Coimbra Esporte Clube
Page 1 of 3
Villa Nova AC
(Away) 15 Aug
Democrata SL
1 : 3 Villa Nova AC
12 Aug
Villa Nova AC
0 : 1 Democrata SL
08 Aug
Aymores
3 : 3 Villa Nova AC
02 Aug
Villa Nova AC
1 : 0 Aymores
26 Jul
Valeriodoce
0 : 1 Villa Nova AC
Page 1 of 6
15 Aug
Democrata SL
1 : 3 Villa Nova AC
08 Aug
Aymores
3 : 3 Villa Nova AC
26 Jul
Valeriodoce
0 : 1 Villa Nova AC
12 Jul
Valeriodoce
1 : 0 Villa Nova AC
01 Jul
Coimbra Esporte Clube
2 : 1 Villa Nova AC
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
Quarter-finals
Uberaba 1
Mamore 2
Democrata SL 6
Patrocinense 2
Valeriodoce 1
Villa Nova AC 2
Boa 1
Aymores 3
Semi-finals
Mamore 2
Democrata SL 5
Villa Nova AC 4
Aymores 3
Final
Democrata SL 2
Villa Nova AC 3
