Sport Picks

Netherlands

Eerste Divisie 2025/2026 De Vliert

FC Emmen

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Den Bosch play FC Emmen in the Eerste Divisie 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Den Bosch averaged 1.69 goals scored and 1.79 conceded. FC Emmen averaged 1.48 goals scored and 1.79 conceded. In past meetings, Den Bosch won 2, FC Emmen won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jan 30, 2026 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.00 for Den Bosch and 1.63 for FC Emmen. This points to a Den Bosch double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%

Den Bosch

24%

Draws

36%

FC Emmen

Draw rate projection: 24% Favored: Den Bosch

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence

Den Bosch picked up more points recently compared to FC Emmen.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.00 vs 1.63 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 63%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 81%

Over 2.5 Goals 63%

Over 3.5 Goals 38%

Over 4.5 Goals 19%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%

Den Bosch Clean Sheet 14%

FC Emmen Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 73%

Second Half Goal 77%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Den Bosch	FC Emmen
Matches Played	29	29
Wins	10	9
Draws	7	8
Losses	12	12
Goals Scored	1.69	1.48
Goals Conceded	1.79	1.79
Expected Goals (xG)	1.63	1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.88	2.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 30, 2026 Eerste Divisie

Den Bosch vs FC Emmen

Possession: 44% - 50% Cards: 3 - 2

1:1

Aug 29, 2025 Eerste Divisie

FC Emmen vs Den Bosch

Possession: 49% - 56% Cards: 4 - 1

3:1

Dec 20, 2024 Eerste Divisie

FC Emmen vs Den Bosch

Possession: 60% - 53% Cards: 3 - 4

0:3

Sep 20, 2024 Eerste Divisie

Den Bosch vs FC Emmen

Possession: 51% - 53% Cards: 3 - 3

1:0

Aug 2, 2024 Club Friendly

FC Emmen vs Den Bosch

Possession: 48% - 49% Cards: 1 - 2

1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Den Bosch Compare

Top Goalscorer van Leeuwen T.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.81

FC Emmen Compare

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Den Bosch 39 / 100

FC Emmen 34 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Den Bosch FC Emmen

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Den Bosch or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +25.2%

3.13

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +10.3%

1.75

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Den Bosch attacking → ← attacking FC Emmen

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Den Bosch scored in 90% of their last 29 games.

FC Emmen let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Den Bosch went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

FC Emmen lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

37 Points in last 5 35

1.63 Goals expected (xG) 1.38

1.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.38

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Den Haag	38	29	2	7	90:37	89
2	Cambuur	38	23	9	6	75:48	78
3	Willem II	38	20	8	10	59:42	68
4	De Graafschap	38	18	9	11	74:58	63
5	Almere City	38	18	4	16	78:63	58
6	Waalwijk	38	16	10	12	71:59	58
7	Jong PSV	38	17	5	16	66:64	56
8	Roda	38	14	13	11	59:54	55
9	Den Bosch	38	14	9	15	65:69	51
10	Dordrecht	38	12	11	15	48:56	47
11	Eindhoven FC	38	14	5	19	51:69	47
12	Jong Utrecht	38	12	10	16	58:62	46
13	Venlo	38	13	6	19	50:58	45
14	FC Emmen	38	12	9	17	58:72	45
15	Vitesse	38	15	11	12	64:55	44
16	TOP Oss	38	11	11	16	54:64	44
17	Jong AZ Alkmaar	38	12	4	22	61:76	40
18	Helmond Sport	38	10	9	19	42:62	39
19	Maastricht	38	9	11	18	41:73	38
20	Jong Ajax	38	9	8	21	50:73	35