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Den Bosch vs Haarlem Prediction & H2H Stats

Netherlands Netherlands

Eerste Divisie 2009/2010 De Vliert, 's-Hertogenbosch
Fri, Apr 23, 2010
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Den Bosch host Haarlem in the Eerste Divisie 2009/2010. Haarlem go into this one as the clear favorite. Recent numbers: Den Bosch at 1.72 goals for, 1.59 against; Haarlem at 1.5 for, 2.5 against. Past meetings favor Den Bosch slightly — 2-1-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 23, 2010, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.23 xG vs 1.50) point toward Haarlem. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Den Bosch
25%
Draws
35%
Haarlem
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Den Bosch

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Den Bosch have won more games recently than Haarlem.
  • Haarlem are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Den Bosch Clean Sheet 16%
Haarlem Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Den Bosch Haarlem
Matches Played 32 2
Wins 12 1
Draws 9 0
Losses 11 1
Goals Scored 1.72 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.59 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 23, 2010 Eerste Divisie
Den Bosch vs Haarlem
0:0
Sep 26, 2009 Eerste Divisie
Haarlem vs Den Bosch
0:0
Feb 27, 2009 Eerste Divisie
Den Bosch vs Haarlem
0:2
Sep 23, 2008 KNVB Beker
Den Bosch vs Haarlem
2:1
Sep 19, 2008 Eerste Divisie
Haarlem vs Den Bosch
1:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Den Bosch 28 / 100
Haarlem 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Den Bosch Haarlem

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Haarlem Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Den Bosch's goal record stands at 84% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Haarlem's defensive record shows goals conceded in 100% of 2 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Den Bosch went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Den Bosch VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
2 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Den Bosch

(Home)
03 Oct
Den Bosch
1 : 1
Dordrecht
27 Sept
De Graafschap
1 : 0
Den Bosch
18 Sept
Den Bosch
2 : 1
Helmond Sport
13 Sept
FC Volendam
2 : 0
Den Bosch
07 Sept
Jong PSV
3 : 1
Den Bosch
Page 1 of 7

Haarlem

(Away)
27 Jul
Sheffield Wed
2 : 3
Haarlem
27 Oct
Heracles
3 : 0
Haarlem

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 De Graafschap 36 25 6 5 85:34 81
2 Cambuur 36 21 8 7 78:48 71
3 Excelsior 36 20 5 11 77:49 65
4 Zwolle 36 19 8 9 59:37 65
5 G.A. Eagles 36 18 9 9 53:33 63
6 Apeldoorn 36 16 9 11 63:52 55
7 Den Bosch 36 14 12 10 66:54 54
8 Helmond Sport 36 16 6 14 63:53 54
9 Veendam 36 14 11 11 57:48 52
10 Maastricht 36 14 7 15 59:67 49
11 Roosendaal 36 12 10 14 47:53 46
12 Eindhoven FC 36 13 7 16 63:81 46
13 Dordrecht 36 13 4 19 54:59 43
14 Almere City 36 11 7 18 40:65 40
15 FC Emmen 36 10 8 18 51:79 38
16 FC Volendam 36 8 11 17 61:81 35
17 Sittard 36 7 9 20 31:57 30
18 Telstar 36 7 8 21 45:65 29
19 TOP Oss 36 6 11 19 42:79 29
20 Haarlem 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Eredivisie 2010/2011 (Main)
Promotion - Eerste Divisie 2009/2010 (Promotion)
Promotion - Eerste Divisie 2009/2010 (Promotion)
Promotion - Eerste Divisie 2009/2010 (Promotion)
Promotion - Eerste Divisie 2009/2010 (Promotion)
Promotion - Eerste Divisie 2009/2010 (Promotion)
Promotion - Eerste Divisie 2009/2010 (Promotion)
Promotion - Eerste Divisie 2009/2010 (Promotion)
Promotion - Eerste Divisie 2009/2010 (Promotion)