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Den Bosch vs Helmond Sport - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Netherlands Netherlands

Eerste Divisie De Vliert, 's-Hertogenbosch
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Broker S.
Assist: Laros M.
17'
Boumassaoudi I.
20' Event
Fortes J.
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

Den Bosch in this Eerste Divisie matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Den Bosch.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Den Bosch
20%
Draws
29%
Helmond Sport
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Den Bosch

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Den Bosch have won more games recently than Helmond Sport.
  • 29% — that's where the model lands on Helmond Sport taking it.
  • Regular Eerste Divisie form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Den Bosch Clean Sheet 10%
Helmond Sport Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Den Bosch Helmond Sport
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 6
Draws 8 8
Losses 11 15
Goals Scored 1.48 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.69 1.62
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 18, 2026 Eerste Divisie
Den Bosch vs Helmond Sport
2:1
Feb 6, 2026 Eerste Divisie
Helmond Sport vs Den Bosch
2:0
Oct 21, 2025 Eerste Divisie
Den Bosch vs Helmond Sport
1:0
May 2, 2025 Eerste Divisie
Den Bosch vs Helmond Sport
1:0
Dec 6, 2024 Eerste Divisie
Helmond Sport vs Den Bosch
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Den Bosch Compare

Top Goalscorer Broker S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Helmond Sport Compare

Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Den Bosch 26 / 100
Helmond Sport 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Den Bosch Helmond Sport

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Helmond Sport Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:5
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Den Bosch's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Helmond Sport has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Recent resilience: Den Bosch stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Helmond Sport's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Den Bosch VS Helmond Sport
1.5 Goals Scored 1.63
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Den Bosch

(Home)
09 Oct
Jong AZ Alkmaar
0 : 1
Den Bosch
03 Oct
Den Bosch
1 : 1
Dordrecht
27 Sept
De Graafschap
1 : 0
Den Bosch
18 Sept
Den Bosch
2 : 1
Helmond Sport
13 Sept
FC Volendam
2 : 0
Den Bosch
Page 1 of 6

Helmond Sport

(Away)
09 Oct
TOP Oss
3 : 1
Helmond Sport
02 Oct
Helmond Sport
2 : 2
Heracles
26 Sept
Maastricht
2 : 0
Helmond Sport
18 Sept
Den Bosch
2 : 1
Helmond Sport
11 Sept
Helmond Sport
3 : 1
Jong PSV
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Heracles 10 8 1 1 31:12 25
2 Almere City 10 7 1 2 22:7 22
3 Venlo 10 7 0 3 26:14 21
4 FC Emmen 10 6 1 3 22:18 19
5 NAC Breda 10 5 2 3 20:19 17
6 Roda 10 4 4 2 10:8 16
7 Maastricht 10 5 1 4 13:20 16
8 FC Volendam 10 5 0 5 22:17 15
9 Waalwijk 10 3 5 2 19:15 14
10 Vitesse 10 4 2 4 15:15 14
11 Jong AZ Alkmaar 10 4 1 5 22:18 13
12 Jong PSV 10 3 4 3 15:17 13
13 TOP Oss 10 4 0 6 15:15 12
14 Den Bosch 10 3 2 5 14:18 11
15 Eindhoven FC 10 3 2 5 15:22 11
16 De Graafschap 10 3 2 5 13:23 11
17 Helmond Sport 10 2 3 5 16:19 9
18 Jong Ajax 10 2 2 6 13:25 8
19 Dordrecht 10 2 2 6 13:27 8
20 Jong Utrecht 10 2 1 7 16:23 7
Promotion - Eredivisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Relegation - Play Offs)