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Den Bosch vs TOP Oss - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Netherlands Netherlands

Eerste Divisie De Vliert, 's-Hertogenbosch
Fri, Oct 16, 2026
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Den Bosch host TOP Oss in the Eerste Divisie. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Recent numbers: Den Bosch at 1.48 goals for, 1.72 against; TOP Oss at 1.54 for, 1.96 against. Head-to-head, Den Bosch have won 3 to TOP Oss's 2, with 0 draws. They last met on Apr 17, 2026, ending 4:2. The numbers (1.50 xG vs 1.75) point toward Den Bosch. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Den Bosch
15%
Draws
51%
TOP Oss
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: TOP Oss

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • TOP Oss's 1.54 goals per match outpaces what Den Bosch have produced (1.48).
  • TOP Oss are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Eerste Divisie form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.2%
Den Bosch Clean Sheet 12%
TOP Oss Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Den Bosch TOP Oss
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 9 9
Draws 9 3
Losses 11 16
Goals Scored 1.48 1.54
Goals Conceded 1.72 1.96
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 17, 2026 Eerste Divisie
TOP Oss vs Den Bosch
4:2
Aug 24, 2025 Eerste Divisie
Den Bosch vs TOP Oss
5:2
Jan 24, 2025 Eerste Divisie
Den Bosch vs TOP Oss
1:0
Nov 8, 2024 Eerste Divisie
TOP Oss vs Den Bosch
1:0
Mar 8, 2024 Eerste Divisie
TOP Oss vs Den Bosch
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Den Bosch 27 / 100
TOP Oss 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Den Bosch TOP Oss

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TOP Oss Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Den Bosch scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.

TOP Oss let in goals in 93% of their last 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

TOP Oss lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Den Bosch VS TOP Oss
1.5 Goals Scored 1.38
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Den Bosch

(Home)
03 Oct
Den Bosch
1 : 1
Dordrecht
27 Sept
De Graafschap
1 : 0
Den Bosch
18 Sept
Den Bosch
2 : 1
Helmond Sport
13 Sept
FC Volendam
2 : 0
Den Bosch
07 Sept
Jong PSV
3 : 1
Den Bosch
Page 1 of 6

TOP Oss

(Away)
03 Oct
TOP Oss
4 : 1
Maastricht
26 Sept
FC Emmen
1 : 0
TOP Oss
18 Sept
TOP Oss
3 : 0
Dordrecht
11 Sept
Venlo
3 : 1
TOP Oss
04 Sept
Vitesse
2 : 1
TOP Oss
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Heracles 9 7 1 1 28:12 22
2 Almere City 9 6 1 2 19:7 19
3 Venlo 9 6 0 3 23:14 18
4 FC Emmen 9 5 1 3 19:18 16
5 Maastricht 9 5 1 3 13:19 16
6 Roda 9 4 3 2 9:7 15
7 Waalwijk 9 3 5 1 19:12 14
8 Vitesse 9 4 2 3 15:13 14
9 NAC Breda 9 4 2 3 19:19 14
10 Jong AZ Alkmaar 9 4 1 4 22:17 13
11 FC Volendam 9 4 0 5 20:17 12
12 Jong PSV 9 3 3 3 14:16 12
13 Eindhoven FC 9 3 2 4 15:19 11
14 Helmond Sport 9 2 3 4 15:16 9
15 TOP Oss 9 3 0 6 12:14 9
16 Den Bosch 9 2 2 5 13:18 8
17 Jong Ajax 9 2 2 5 13:22 8
18 Dordrecht 9 2 2 5 13:24 8
19 De Graafschap 9 2 2 5 11:22 8
20 Jong Utrecht 9 2 1 6 15:21 7
Promotion - Eredivisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Relegation - Play Offs)