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Den Bosch vs Venlo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Netherlands Netherlands

Eerste Divisie De Vliert, 's-Hertogenbosch
Fri, Nov 20, 2026
VS
07:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Den Bosch host Venlo in the Eerste Divisie. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Den Bosch have averaged 1.76 scored and 1.66 conceded recently, against Venlo's 2.14 scored and 1.69 conceded. Head-to-head, Den Bosch have won 3 to Venlo's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Dec 12, 2025, ending 0:1. Model xG sits at 1.94 vs 1.81, favoring Den Bosch. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Den Bosch
35%
Draws
27%
Venlo
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Den Bosch

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Den Bosch haven't matched Venlo's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Den Bosch a 38% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Eerste Divisie form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Den Bosch Clean Sheet 11%
Venlo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Den Bosch Venlo
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 14
Draws 7 5
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 1.76 2.14
Goals Conceded 1.66 1.69
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 12, 2025 Eerste Divisie
Den Bosch vs Venlo
0:1
Sep 30, 2025 Eerste Divisie
Venlo vs Den Bosch
0:1
Apr 18, 2025 Eerste Divisie
Den Bosch vs Venlo
0:0
Oct 25, 2024 Eerste Divisie
Venlo vs Den Bosch
1:2
Apr 26, 2024 Eerste Divisie
Venlo vs Den Bosch
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Den Bosch 83 / 100
Venlo 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Den Bosch Venlo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Den Bosch Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Den Bosch scored in 86% of their last 29 games.

Venlo let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

Solid form: Den Bosch remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Den Bosch VS Venlo
2.25 Goals Scored 2.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Den Bosch

(Home)
07 Nov
Den Bosch
1 : 1
Jong Utrecht
01 Nov
FC Emmen
0 : 5
Den Bosch
27 Oct
Rijnsburgse Boys
3 : 5
Den Bosch
23 Oct
Den Bosch
2 : 2
Maastricht
16 Oct
Den Bosch
2 : 1
TOP Oss
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Venlo

(Away)
06 Nov
Venlo
1 : 1
Jong PSV
31 Oct
Maastricht
1 : 2
Venlo
28 Oct
Venlo
0 : 2
Vitesse
24 Oct
Dordrecht
2 : 4
Venlo
16 Oct
Venlo
4 : 4
Jong AZ Alkmaar
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Heracles 14 11 2 1 44:15 35
2 Venlo 14 9 2 3 37:22 29
3 Almere City 14 9 1 4 30:14 28
4 FC Emmen 13 8 1 4 26:24 25
5 NAC Breda 14 7 4 3 25:20 25
6 Roda 14 7 4 3 18:17 25
7 FC Volendam 14 7 1 6 33:24 22
8 Den Bosch 14 5 4 5 24:22 19
9 Vitesse 13 5 3 5 17:18 18
10 Maastricht 13 5 2 6 17:29 17
11 Waalwijk 14 3 8 3 23:20 17
12 Jong AZ Alkmaar 14 5 2 7 33:31 17
13 Jong PSV 14 4 5 5 18:22 17
14 Jong Ajax 14 4 4 6 22:30 16
15 De Graafschap 13 4 3 6 17:27 15
16 TOP Oss 14 4 2 8 20:23 14
17 Helmond Sport 14 3 3 8 25:31 12
18 Dordrecht 14 3 3 8 18:34 12
19 Jong Utrecht 14 3 2 9 23:34 11
20 Eindhoven FC 14 3 2 9 18:31 11
Promotion - Eredivisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Relegation - Play Offs)