Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Den Haag vs Jong Utrecht

Netherlands Netherlands

Eerste Divisie 2025/2026 WerkTalent Stadion, Den Haag
Our Tip

Match Events

19'
Sub
Agougil O. In: van der Wegen S.
Out: Agougil O.
46'
Sub
Reischl L. In: Fiabema B.
Out: Reischl L.
46'
Sub
Adiele E. In: Sneijder J.
Out: Adiele E.

AI Match Summary

The Eerste Divisie 2025/2026 game between Den Haag and Jong Utrecht finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Den Haag.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Den Haag
20%
Draws
40%
Jong Utrecht
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Den Haag come out ahead of Jong Utrecht on wins alone.
  • Model gives Den Haag a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Den Haag Clean Sheet 20%
Jong Utrecht Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Den Haag Jong Utrecht
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 16 5
Draws 3 7
Losses 10 15
Goals Scored 2.03 1.37
Goals Conceded 1.21 2
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 17, 2026 Eerste Divisie
Den Haag vs Jong Utrecht
1:0
Aug 18, 2025 Eerste Divisie
Jong Utrecht vs Den Haag
2:2
Apr 7, 2025 Eerste Divisie
Jong Utrecht vs Den Haag
1:1
Sep 27, 2024 Eerste Divisie
Den Haag vs Jong Utrecht
1:1
Apr 29, 2024 Eerste Divisie
Jong Utrecht vs Den Haag
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Den Haag Compare

Top Goalscorer Rottier E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.92
Avg xA / game 1.25

Jong Utrecht Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Den Haag 36 / 100
Jong Utrecht 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Den Haag Jong Utrecht

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Den Haag found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Jong Utrecht conceded in 85% of 27 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Jong Utrecht registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Den Haag VS Jong Utrecht
2.5 Goals Scored 0.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Den Haag

(Home)
06 Sept
Den Haag
2 : 3
Sittard
30 Aug
Feyenoord
2 : 2
Den Haag
23 Aug
G.A. Eagles
3 : 1
Den Haag
16 Aug
Den Haag
1 : 4
Groningen
08 Aug
AZ Alkmaar
2 : 0
Den Haag
Page 1 of 6

Jong Utrecht

(Away)
07 Sept
Jong Utrecht
0 : 0
Eindhoven FC
31 Aug
Jong AZ Alkmaar
2 : 1
Jong Utrecht
28 Aug
TOP Oss
2 : 1
Jong Utrecht
24 Aug
Jong Utrecht
1 : 6
Heracles
17 Aug
Jong Utrecht
1 : 3
Vitesse
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Den Haag 38 29 2 7 90:37 89
2 Cambuur 38 23 9 6 75:48 78
3 Willem II 38 20 8 10 59:42 68
4 De Graafschap 38 18 9 11 74:58 63
5 Almere City 38 18 4 16 78:63 58
6 Waalwijk 38 16 10 12 71:59 58
7 Jong PSV 38 17 5 16 66:64 56
8 Roda 38 14 13 11 59:54 55
9 Den Bosch 38 14 9 15 65:69 51
10 Dordrecht 38 12 11 15 48:56 47
11 Eindhoven FC 38 14 5 19 51:69 47
12 Jong Utrecht 38 12 10 16 58:62 46
13 Venlo 38 13 6 19 50:58 45
14 FC Emmen 38 12 9 17 58:72 45
15 Vitesse 38 15 11 12 64:55 44
16 TOP Oss 38 11 11 16 54:64 44
17 Jong AZ Alkmaar 38 12 4 22 61:76 40
18 Helmond Sport 38 10 9 19 42:62 39
19 Maastricht 38 9 11 18 41:73 38
20 Jong Ajax 38 9 8 21 50:73 35
Promotion - Eredivisie (Main)
Promotion - Eredivisie 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Eredivisie 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)