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Denbigh vs Bala

Wales Wales

Cymru North
Denbigh Logo

Denbigh

5 - 2
FT
Bala Logo

Bala

Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Williams K.
Own Goal
52' Event
Flanders D.
57' Event
Burke N.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Denbigh in this Cymru North matchup, with the score ending 5-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Denbigh.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Denbigh
15%
Draws
59%
Bala
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bala

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Denbigh have won more games recently than Bala.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Cymru North form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Denbigh Clean Sheet 10%
Bala Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Denbigh Bala
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 12 10
Draws 3 5
Losses 18 15
Goals Scored 1.76 1.3
Goals Conceded 2.09 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 11, 2026 Cymru North
Denbigh vs Bala
5:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Denbigh Compare

Top Goalscorer Flanders D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Orton E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Bala Compare

Top Goalscorer Burke N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Owen J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Denbigh 30 / 100
Bala 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Denbigh Bala

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bala Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 7.00 goals per match.

Denbigh scored in 79% of their last 33 games.

Bala has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Denbigh went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Denbigh VS Bala
1.5 Goals Scored 1.63
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Denbigh

(Home)
11 Sept
Denbigh
5 : 2
Bala
05 Sept
Newtown
1 : 0
Denbigh
31 Aug
Denbigh
1 : 3
Rhyl
28 Aug
Penrhyncoch
2 : 2
Denbigh
21 Aug
Denbigh
2 : 3
Porthmadog
Page 1 of 7

Bala

(Away)
11 Sept
Denbigh
5 : 2
Bala
05 Sept
Porthmadog
1 : 2
Bala
31 Aug
Bala
0 : 1
Newtown
28 Aug
Rhyl
1 : 3
Bala
21 Aug
Bala
3 : 0
Gresford
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brickfield Rangers 8 7 0 1 21:4 21
2 Newtown 7 6 1 0 16:1 19
3 Bala 8 6 0 2 15:10 18
4 Mold Alexandra 8 5 2 1 19:9 17
5 Bangor 1876 8 5 1 2 21:11 16
6 Porthmadog 8 4 2 2 15:11 14
7 Caersws FC 7 4 1 2 13:9 13
8 Guilsfield 8 2 4 2 13:12 10
9 Llanuwchllyn 7 3 1 3 11:17 10
10 Rhyl 7 2 3 2 14:13 9
11 Buckley 8 2 2 4 15:14 8
12 Denbigh 8 2 1 5 16:17 7
13 Holyhead 7 1 1 5 7:14 4
14 Ruthin Town 8 1 1 6 6:19 4
15 Gresford 7 0 1 6 2:20 1
16 Penrhyncoch 8 0 1 7 4:27 1
Promotion - Cymru Premier 2027/2028 (Main)