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Denbigh vs Bala - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Wales Wales

Cymru North
Denbigh Logo

Denbigh

5 - 2
FT
Bala Logo

Bala

Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Williams K.
Own Goal
52' Event
Flanders D.
57' Event
Burke N.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Denbigh in this Cymru North matchup, with the score ending 5-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Denbigh.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Denbigh
30%
Draws
23%
Bala
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Denbigh

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Denbigh have won more games recently than Bala.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Cymru North form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Denbigh Clean Sheet 10%
Bala Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Denbigh Bala
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 10 9
Draws 2 6
Losses 16 14
Goals Scored 1.46 1.66
Goals Conceded 2.11 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 11, 2026 Cymru North
Denbigh vs Bala
5:2
Jan 27, 2009 Cymru Alliance
Bala vs Denbigh
4:1
Dec 27, 2008 Cymru Alliance
Denbigh vs Bala
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Denbigh Compare

Top Goalscorer Flanders D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Orton E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.09

Bala Compare

Top Goalscorer Burke N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Owen J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Denbigh 29 / 100
Bala 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Denbigh Bala

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Denbigh Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.67 goals per match.

Denbigh scored in 68% of their last 28 games.

Bala has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Denbigh went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Denbigh VS Bala
1.75 Goals Scored 1.88
2.13 Goals Conceded 2.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Denbigh

(Home)
31 Oct
Llanuwchllyn
3 : 4
Denbigh
16 Oct
Denbigh
0 : 2
Bangor 1876
10 Oct
Guilsfield
0 : 2
Denbigh
02 Oct
Denbigh
2 : 4
Holyhead
26 Sept
Brickfield Rangers
2 : 0
Denbigh
Page 1 of 6

Bala

(Away)
31 Oct
Brickfield Rangers
1 : 1
Bala
24 Oct
Llanuwchllyn
3 : 3
Bala
17 Oct
Bala
3 : 4
Holyhead
09 Oct
Bala
2 : 3
Buckley
03 Oct
Caersws FC
3 : 3
Bala
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brickfield Rangers 13 10 1 2 28:11 31
2 Newtown 12 8 3 1 22:5 27
3 Mold Alexandra 12 8 2 2 30:14 26
4 Porthmadog 13 7 3 3 20:14 24
5 Bala 13 6 3 4 26:24 21
6 Caersws FC 12 5 5 2 25:18 20
7 Bangor 1876 12 5 3 4 24:19 18
8 Guilsfield 13 4 6 3 20:18 18
9 Buckley 13 4 3 6 25:23 15
10 Holyhead 12 4 2 6 17:20 14
11 Llanuwchllyn 12 4 2 6 23:31 14
12 Denbigh 12 4 1 7 24:26 13
13 Ruthin Town 12 3 3 6 12:22 12
14 Rhyl 12 2 5 5 21:24 11
15 Gresford 11 2 1 8 7:24 7
16 Penrhyncoch 12 0 1 11 6:37 1
Promotion - Cymru Premier 2027/2028 (Main)