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Denbigh vs Gresford - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Wales Wales

Cymru North
Fri, Nov 13, 2026
VS
07:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Denbigh host Gresford in the Cymru North. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Denbigh have averaged 1.74 scored and 2.09 conceded recently, against Gresford's 1.25 scored and 2.39 conceded. Past meetings favor Denbigh slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jan 1, 2026, ending 2:3. The numbers (1.69 xG vs 1.44) point toward Denbigh. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Denbigh
15%
Draws
46%
Gresford
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gresford

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Denbigh lately — more wins on the board than Gresford.
  • Model gives Gresford a 46% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Denbigh Clean Sheet 16%
Gresford Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Denbigh Gresford
Matches Played 35 28
Wins 14 8
Draws 2 2
Losses 19 18
Goals Scored 1.74 1.25
Goals Conceded 2.09 2.39
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 1, 2026 Cymru North
Denbigh vs Gresford
2:3
Aug 15, 2025 Cymru North
Gresford vs Denbigh
0:5
Apr 12, 2025 Cymru North
Gresford vs Denbigh
3:3
Aug 23, 2024 Cymru North
Denbigh vs Gresford
5:1
Mar 19, 2024 Cymru North
Denbigh vs Gresford
2:5

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Denbigh 23 / 100
Gresford 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Denbigh Gresford

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gresford Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gresford's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 28 matches.

Games between these two average 5.80 goals.

Denbigh's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 35 recent games.

Solid form: Denbigh remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Denbigh VS Gresford
1.5 Goals Scored 0.88
2 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Denbigh

(Home)
31 Oct
Llanuwchllyn
3 : 4
Denbigh
16 Oct
Denbigh
0 : 2
Bangor 1876
10 Oct
Guilsfield
0 : 2
Denbigh
02 Oct
Denbigh
2 : 4
Holyhead
26 Sept
Brickfield Rangers
2 : 0
Denbigh
Page 1 of 7

Gresford

(Away)
31 Oct
Gresford
1 : 2
Ruthin Town
10 Oct
Gresford
0 : 1
Porthmadog
03 Oct
Penrhyncoch
0 : 1
Gresford
26 Sept
Gresford
3 : 1
Rhyl
12 Sept
Guilsfield
1 : 1
Gresford
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brickfield Rangers 13 10 1 2 28:11 31
2 Newtown 12 8 3 1 22:5 27
3 Mold Alexandra 12 8 2 2 30:14 26
4 Porthmadog 13 7 3 3 20:14 24
5 Bala 13 6 3 4 26:24 21
6 Caersws FC 12 5 5 2 25:18 20
7 Bangor 1876 12 5 3 4 24:19 18
8 Guilsfield 13 4 6 3 20:18 18
9 Buckley 13 4 3 6 25:23 15
10 Holyhead 12 4 2 6 17:20 14
11 Llanuwchllyn 12 4 2 6 23:31 14
12 Denbigh 12 4 1 7 24:26 13
13 Ruthin Town 12 3 3 6 12:22 12
14 Rhyl 12 2 5 5 21:24 11
15 Gresford 11 2 1 8 7:24 7
16 Penrhyncoch 12 0 1 11 6:37 1
Promotion - Cymru Premier 2027/2028 (Main)