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Denbigh vs Guilsfield

Wales Wales

Cymru North 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Dafydd G.
23' Event
Dafydd G.
29' Event
Davies O.

AI Match Summary

The Cymru North 2025/2026 game between Denbigh and Guilsfield finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Denbigh.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Denbigh
20%
Draws
51%
Guilsfield
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Guilsfield

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Guilsfield come out ahead of Denbigh on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Cymru North 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Denbigh Clean Sheet 10%
Guilsfield Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Denbigh Guilsfield
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 11
Draws 2 6
Losses 17 12
Goals Scored 1.45 1.59
Goals Conceded 2.1 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 20, 2026 Cymru North
Denbigh vs Guilsfield
3:2
Oct 11, 2025 Cymru North
Guilsfield vs Denbigh
2:1
Jan 18, 2025 Cymru North
Denbigh vs Guilsfield
3:2
Nov 2, 2024 Cymru North
Guilsfield vs Denbigh
4:3
Mar 23, 2024 Cymru North
Guilsfield vs Denbigh
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Denbigh Compare

Top Goalscorer Dafydd G.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Davies O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Guilsfield Compare

Top Goalscorer Knott A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Matthews I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Denbigh 30 / 100
Guilsfield 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Denbigh Guilsfield

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Guilsfield Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Denbigh scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Guilsfield conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

Recent resilience: Denbigh stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Denbigh VS Guilsfield
2 Goals Scored 1.63
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Denbigh

(Home)
26 Sept
Brickfield Rangers
2 : 0
Denbigh
11 Sept
Denbigh
5 : 2
Bala
05 Sept
Newtown
1 : 0
Denbigh
31 Aug
Denbigh
1 : 3
Rhyl
28 Aug
Penrhyncoch
2 : 2
Denbigh
Page 1 of 6

Guilsfield

(Away)
26 Sept
Holyhead
0 : 2
Guilsfield
12 Sept
Guilsfield
1 : 1
Gresford
05 Sept
Brickfield Rangers
2 : 0
Guilsfield
31 Aug
Guilsfield
4 : 0
Penrhyncoch
28 Aug
Buckley
3 : 1
Guilsfield
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Llandudno FC 30 26 2 2 77:22 80
2 Airbus UK Broughton FC 30 24 3 3 93:22 75
3 Holywell Town FC 30 18 6 6 78:40 60
4 Newtown 30 15 3 12 51:49 48
5 Rhyl 30 14 4 12 46:55 46
6 Guilsfield 30 13 4 13 50:48 43
7 Mold Alexandra 30 12 5 13 38:45 41
8 Denbigh 30 12 4 14 52:59 40
9 Caersws FC 30 11 4 15 46:51 37
10 Brickfield Rangers 30 11 4 15 39:49 37
11 Holyhead 30 10 6 14 44:49 36
12 Penrhyncoch 30 10 5 15 45:53 35
13 Buckley 30 9 3 18 50:77 30
14 Flint Mountain 30 9 2 19 39:61 29
15 Gresford 30 8 4 18 47:87 28
16 Ruthin Town 30 6 5 19 36:64 23
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Main)