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Denbigh vs Rhyl

Wales Wales

Cymru North
Denbigh Logo

Denbigh

1 - 3
FT
Rhyl Logo

Rhyl

Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Kelly T.
16' Event
Barnes B.
45' Event
Cockerline D.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Rhyl in this Cymru North matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Rhyl.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Denbigh
35%
Draws
39%
Rhyl
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Rhyl

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Denbigh haven't matched Rhyl's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Rhyl's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Cymru North form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Denbigh Clean Sheet 13%
Rhyl Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Denbigh Rhyl
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 10 15
Draws 3 4
Losses 17 12
Goals Scored 1.53 1.58
Goals Conceded 2.13 1.61
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 31, 2026 Cymru North
Denbigh vs Rhyl
1:3
Mar 27, 2026 Cymru North
Rhyl vs Denbigh
3:0
Oct 3, 2025 Cymru North
Denbigh vs Rhyl
2:1
Aug 2, 2025 League Cup
Rhyl vs Denbigh
2:3
Apr 5, 2019 Cymru Alliance
Rhyl vs Denbigh
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Denbigh Compare

Top Goalscorer Kelly T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Rhyl Compare

Top Goalscorer Barnes B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Cockerline D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Denbigh 27 / 100
Rhyl 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Denbigh Rhyl

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rhyl Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rhyl has conceded goals in 81% of their last 31 outings.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Denbigh found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Denbigh has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Denbigh VS Rhyl
1.63 Goals Scored 1.25
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Denbigh

(Home)
11 Sept
Denbigh
5 : 2
Bala
05 Sept
Newtown
1 : 0
Denbigh
31 Aug
Denbigh
1 : 3
Rhyl
28 Aug
Penrhyncoch
2 : 2
Denbigh
21 Aug
Denbigh
2 : 3
Porthmadog
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Rhyl

(Away)
12 Sept
Rhyl
3 : 3
Buckley
05 Sept
Bangor 1876
2 : 2
Rhyl
31 Aug
Denbigh
1 : 3
Rhyl
28 Aug
Rhyl
1 : 3
Bala
22 Aug
Llanuwchllyn
0 : 0
Rhyl
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brickfield Rangers 8 7 0 1 21:4 21
2 Newtown 7 6 1 0 16:1 19
3 Bala 8 6 0 2 15:10 18
4 Mold Alexandra 8 5 2 1 19:9 17
5 Bangor 1876 8 5 1 2 21:11 16
6 Porthmadog 8 4 2 2 15:11 14
7 Caersws FC 7 4 1 2 13:9 13
8 Guilsfield 8 2 4 2 13:12 10
9 Llanuwchllyn 7 3 1 3 11:17 10
10 Rhyl 7 2 3 2 14:13 9
11 Buckley 8 2 2 4 15:14 8
12 Denbigh 8 2 1 5 16:17 7
13 Holyhead 7 1 1 5 7:14 4
14 Ruthin Town 8 1 1 6 6:19 4
15 Gresford 7 0 1 6 2:20 1
16 Penrhyncoch 8 0 1 7 4:27 1
Promotion - Cymru Premier 2027/2028 (Main)