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Denbigh vs Rhyl - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Wales Wales

Cymru North
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Kelly T.
16' Event
Barnes B.
45' Event
Cockerline D.

AI Match Summary

Rhyl in this Cymru North matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Rhyl.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Denbigh
30%
Draws
16%
Rhyl
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Denbigh

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Rhyl haven't matched Denbigh's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Cymru North form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Denbigh Clean Sheet 10%
Rhyl Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Denbigh Rhyl
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 11 10
Draws 3 5
Losses 18 14
Goals Scored 1.5 1.52
Goals Conceded 2.13 1.86
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 31, 2026 Cymru North
Denbigh vs Rhyl
1:3
Mar 27, 2026 Cymru North
Rhyl vs Denbigh
3:0
Oct 3, 2025 Cymru North
Denbigh vs Rhyl
2:1
Aug 2, 2025 League Cup
Rhyl vs Denbigh
2:3
Apr 5, 2019 Cymru Alliance
Rhyl vs Denbigh
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Denbigh Compare

Top Goalscorer Kelly T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Rhyl Compare

Top Goalscorer Barnes B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Cockerline D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Denbigh 29 / 100
Rhyl 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Denbigh Rhyl

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Denbigh Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rhyl has conceded goals in 86% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Denbigh found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (32 games).

Denbigh has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Denbigh VS Rhyl
1.75 Goals Scored 1.88
2.13 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Denbigh

(Home)
06 Nov
Denbigh
2 : 2
Mold Alexandra
31 Oct
Llanuwchllyn
3 : 4
Denbigh
16 Oct
Denbigh
0 : 2
Bangor 1876
10 Oct
Guilsfield
0 : 2
Denbigh
02 Oct
Denbigh
2 : 4
Holyhead
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Rhyl

(Away)
31 Oct
Mold Alexandra
2 : 1
Rhyl
24 Oct
Rhyl
2 : 2
Newtown
09 Oct
Ruthin Town
1 : 1
Rhyl
03 Oct
Rhyl
2 : 3
Brickfield Rangers
26 Sept
Gresford
3 : 1
Rhyl
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brickfield Rangers 13 10 1 2 28:11 31
2 Newtown 13 9 3 1 24:5 30
3 Mold Alexandra 13 8 3 2 32:16 27
4 Porthmadog 13 7 3 3 20:14 24
5 Bala 14 7 3 4 27:24 24
6 Caersws FC 13 6 5 2 28:18 23
7 Bangor 1876 13 6 3 4 33:19 21
8 Guilsfield 14 4 6 4 20:19 18
9 Buckley 13 4 3 6 25:23 15
10 Denbigh 13 4 2 7 26:28 14
11 Holyhead 12 4 2 6 17:20 14
12 Llanuwchllyn 12 4 2 6 23:31 14
13 Ruthin Town 13 3 3 7 12:24 12
14 Rhyl 12 2 5 5 21:24 11
15 Gresford 12 2 1 9 7:33 7
16 Penrhyncoch 13 0 1 12 6:40 1
Promotion - Cymru Premier 2027/2028 (Main)