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Dender vs Beerschot VA - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Belgium Belgium

Challenger Pro League Dender Football Complex, Denderleeuw
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
De Kerf B.
Assist: Cools K.
46'
Sub
Jordanov E. In: Audoor S.
Out: Jordanov E.
46'
Sub
Van den Eynden B. In: Govaers M.
Out: Van den Eynden B.

AI Match Summary

The Challenger Pro League game between Dender and Beerschot VA finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Dender.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Dender
15%
Draws
47%
Beerschot VA
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Beerschot VA

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Beerschot VA come out ahead of Dender on wins alone.
  • 47% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Dender Clean Sheet 14%
Beerschot VA Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dender Beerschot VA
Matches Played 26 31
Wins 9 23
Draws 3 2
Losses 14 6
Goals Scored 1.23 2.52
Goals Conceded 1.62 1.16
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 Challenger Pro League
Dender vs Beerschot VA
2:0
Feb 22, 2025 Jupiler Pro League
Dender vs Beerschot VA
0:0
Aug 31, 2024 Jupiler Pro League
Beerschot VA vs Dender
1:2
Mar 3, 2024 Challenger Pro League
Dender vs Beerschot VA
1:1
Oct 29, 2023 Challenger Pro League
Beerschot VA vs Dender
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dender Compare

Top Goalscorer De Kerf B.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Beerschot VA Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dender 31 / 100
Beerschot VA 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dender Beerschot VA

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Beerschot VA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Dender scored in 69% of their last 26 outings.

Defensive concern: Beerschot VA conceded in 65% of 31 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Dender remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Dender VS Beerschot VA
1.88 Goals Scored 2.88
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Dender

(Home)
16 Oct
St. Liege
2 : 0
Dender
09 Oct
Dender
3 : 0
Club Brugge U23
26 Sept
Hoogstraten
0 : 6
Dender
20 Sept
Dender
1 : 0
Patro Eisden
11 Sept
Gent U23
0 : 1
Dender
Page 1 of 6

Beerschot VA

(Away)
31 Oct
Beerschot VA
3 : 0
Francs Borains
25 Oct
Eupen
1 : 2
Beerschot VA
18 Oct
Beerschot VA
2 : 1
Anderlecht
10 Oct
Beerschot VA
5 : 1
RFC Liege
27 Sept
Crossing Schaerbeek
3 : 5
Beerschot VA
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Beerschot VA 9 8 0 1 23:7 24
2 Dender 7 6 0 1 11:2 18
3 Eupen 7 5 0 2 14:7 15
4 Hasselt 8 5 0 3 12:13 15
5 Sporting Lokeren 8 4 1 3 16:14 13
6 Patro Eisden 9 4 0 5 14:15 12
7 Francs Borains 7 4 0 3 9:10 12
8 Gent U23 8 3 2 3 11:13 11
9 Virton 7 3 1 3 12:9 10
10 Club Brugge U23 8 2 3 3 14:17 9
11 Genk U23 8 2 2 4 12:15 8
12 Lierse SK 7 2 2 3 7:10 8
13 RFC Seraing 9 2 2 5 12:16 8
14 RFC Liege 9 1 2 6 13:22 5
15 Anderlecht U23 7 0 1 6 7:17 1
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