Sport Picks

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Dender vs Charleroi

Belgium Belgium

Jupiler Pro League 2025/2026 Dender Football Complex, Denderleeuw
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Scheidler A.
Assist: Guiagon P.
21' Event
Kvet R.
Assist: Sambu M.
33'
Sub
De Fougerolles L. In: De Kerf B.
Out: De Fougerolles L.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Jupiler Pro League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Dender
44%
Draws
20%
Charleroi
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Charleroi have won more games recently than Dender.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular Jupiler Pro League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.8%
Dender Clean Sheet 20%
Charleroi Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dender Charleroi
Matches Played 26 29
Wins 6 11
Draws 6 6
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 0.75 1.38
Goals Conceded 1 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2026 Jupiler Pro League
Dender vs Charleroi
2:2
Aug 30, 2025 Jupiler Pro League
Charleroi vs Dender
3:1
Apr 26, 2025 Jupiler Pro League
Charleroi vs Dender
4:1
Apr 22, 2025 Jupiler Pro League
Dender vs Charleroi
2:1
Feb 1, 2025 Jupiler Pro League
Charleroi vs Dender
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dender Compare

Top Goalscorer Kvet R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hrncar D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Charleroi Compare

Top Goalscorer Scheidler A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Colassin A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dender 36 / 100
Charleroi 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dender Charleroi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CHA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.20 goals as a typical output.

Dender scored in 73% of their last 26 games.

Charleroi has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Solid form: Dender remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Dender VS Charleroi
0.75 Goals Scored 1.38
1 Goals Conceded 0.63
50% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Dender

(Home)
23 May
Dender
0 : 0
Lommel SK
17 May
Lommel SK
3 : 2
Dender
09 May
Waregem
2 : 1
Dender
03 May
Dender
2 : 1
RAAL La Louviere
24 Apr
Cercle Brugge
2 : 1
Dender
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Charleroi

(Away)
25 Jul
Charleroi
2 : 1
RFC Seraing
25 Jul
Lens
2 : 2
Charleroi
17 Jul
Feyenoord
3 : 1
Charleroi
11 Jul
Charleroi
2 : 2
Reims
23 May
St. Liege
0 : 2
Charleroi
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Royale Union SG30199250:1766
2Club Brugge30203759:3663
3St. Truiden30183947:3557
4Gent301361149:4345
5KV Mechelen30129939:3745
6Anderlecht301281043:3944
7Genk301191046:4742
8St. Liege301171227:3540
9Westerlo301091136:4039
10Antwerp30981331:3235
11Charleroi30971438:4234
12Leuven30971432:4334
13Waregem30881438:4732
14Cercle Brugge307101339:4731
15RAAL La Louviere306131130:3731
16Dender303101724:5119
Promotion - Jupiler Pro League 2025/2026 (Championship Group)
Promotion - Jupiler Pro League 2025/2026 (Conference League Group)
Relegation - Jupiler Pro League 2025/2026 (Relegation Group)