Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Dender vs Gent

Belgium Belgium

Jupiler Pro League 2025/2026 Dender Football Complex, Denderleeuw
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Dean M.
Assist: Kanga W.
14' Event
Ferraro F.
Assist: Sambu M.
61'
Sub
Hong Hyun-Seok In: Goore H.
Out: Hong Hyun-Seok

AI Match Summary

Gent in this Jupiler Pro League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gent.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Dender
22%
Draws
60%
Gent
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Gent

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Gent lately — more wins on the board than Dender.
  • Win probability leans Gent's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 32%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Dender Clean Sheet 16%
Gent Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dender Gent
Matches Played 27 30
Wins 7 11
Draws 6 10
Losses 14 9
Goals Scored 0.71 2.13
Goals Conceded 0.86 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.71 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.86 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2026 Jupiler Pro League
Dender vs Gent
1:3
Sep 19, 2025 Jupiler Pro League
Gent vs Dender
3:0
Jan 12, 2025 Jupiler Pro League
Dender vs Gent
0:0
Aug 4, 2024 Jupiler Pro League
Gent vs Dender
1:2
Apr 4, 2009 Jupiler Pro League
Dender vs Gent
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dender Compare

Top Goalscorer Ferraro F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.55
Avg xA / game 0.35

Gent Compare

Top Goalscorer Dean M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kadri A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dender 19 / 100
Gent 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dender Gent

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GNT Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dender's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Gent let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Recent resilience: Dender stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Dender VS Gent
0.71 Goals Scored 2.13
0.86 Goals Conceded 1.5
43% Over 1.5 88%
43% Over 2.5 63%
14% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Dender

(Home)
23 May
Dender
0 : 0
Lommel SK
17 May
Lommel SK
3 : 2
Dender
09 May
Waregem
2 : 1
Dender
03 May
Dender
2 : 1
RAAL La Louviere
24 Apr
Cercle Brugge
2 : 1
Dender
Page 1 of 6

Gent

(Away)
23 Jul
LNZ Cherkasy
0 : 0
Gent
18 Jul
Twente
0 : 2
Gent
18 Jul
Twente
2 : 2
Gent
14 Jul
Kryvbas
2 : 1
Gent
11 Jul
Gent
4 : 0
SK Beveren
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Royale Union SG30199250:1766
2Club Brugge30203759:3663
3St. Truiden30183947:3557
4Gent301361149:4345
5KV Mechelen30129939:3745
6Anderlecht301281043:3944
7Genk301191046:4742
8St. Liege301171227:3540
9Westerlo301091136:4039
10Antwerp30981331:3235
11Charleroi30971438:4234
12Leuven30971432:4334
13Waregem30881438:4732
14Cercle Brugge307101339:4731
15RAAL La Louviere306131130:3731
16Dender303101724:5119
Promotion - Jupiler Pro League 2025/2026 (Championship Group)
Promotion - Jupiler Pro League 2025/2026 (Conference League Group)
Relegation - Jupiler Pro League 2025/2026 (Relegation Group)