Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Dender vs Lommel SK

Belgium Belgium

Jupiler Pro League 2025/2026 Dender Football Complex, Denderleeuw
Our Tip

Match Events

57'
Sub
Lopez L. In: Vancsa Z.
Out: Lopez L.
63'
Sub
Viltard M. In: Toshevski D.
Out: Viltard M.
63'
Sub
Kvet R. In: Acquah D.
Out: Kvet R.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Jupiler Pro League 2025/2026 tie, finishing 0-0. Extra time or penalties follow.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Dender
28%
Draws
22%
Lommel SK
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Dender

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Lommel SK lately — more wins on the board than Dender.
  • Model gives Dender a 50% chance of winning this.
  • Lommel SK arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Dender, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Dender Clean Sheet 10%
Lommel SK Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dender Lommel SK
Matches Played 26 30
Wins 6 18
Draws 6 5
Losses 14 7
Goals Scored 1 2.38
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 Jupiler Pro League
Dender vs Lommel SK
0:0
May 17, 2026 Jupiler Pro League
Lommel SK vs Dender
3:2
Feb 3, 2024 Challenger Pro League
Lommel SK vs Dender
2:2
Sep 16, 2023 Challenger Pro League
Dender vs Lommel SK
3:1
May 6, 2023 Challenger Pro League
Dender vs Lommel SK
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dender 47 / 100
Lommel SK 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dender Lommel SK

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DEN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lommel SK has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Dender's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 26 recent games.

Dender went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Dender VS Lommel SK
1 Goals Scored 2.38
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Dender

(Home)
23 May
Dender
0 : 0
Lommel SK
17 May
Lommel SK
3 : 2
Dender
09 May
Waregem
2 : 1
Dender
03 May
Dender
2 : 1
RAAL La Louviere
24 Apr
Cercle Brugge
2 : 1
Dender
Page 1 of 6

Lommel SK

(Away)
24 Jul
Lommel SK
0 : 4
Den Haag
18 Jul
Lommel SK
2 : 1
G.A. Eagles
15 Jul
Leuven
5 : 1
Lommel SK
11 Jul
Cercle Brugge
1 : 1
Lommel SK
07 Jul
Kryvbas
2 : 4
Lommel SK
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Dender-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Beerschot VA4
Patro Eisden3
RFC Liege1
Lommel SK5
Semi-finals
Dender-
TBD-
Beerschot VA2
Lommel SK6
Final
Dender2
Lommel SK3