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Stadium Background

Denia vs Ribarroja

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 6 2012/2013
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Denia in this Tercera Division - Group 6 2012/2013 matchup, with the score ending 5-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Denia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Denia
30%
Draws
35%
Ribarroja
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ribarroja lately — more wins on the board than Denia.
  • 35% — that's where the model lands on Denia taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Denia Clean Sheet 20%
Ribarroja Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Denia Ribarroja
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 7 8
Draws 10 9
Losses 13 14
Goals Scored 1.1 0.74
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 13, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Denia vs Ribarroja
5:1
Aug 25, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Ribarroja vs Denia
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Denia 85 / 100
Ribarroja 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Denia Ribarroja

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Denia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.50 goals.

Denia's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Ribarroja's defensive record shows goals conceded in 61% of 31 matches.

Recent resilience: Denia stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Denia VS Ribarroja
2 Goals Scored 0.63
1 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 50%
100% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Denia

(Home)
17 Aug
Denia
2 : 1
Levante B
18 May
CD Llosa
1 : 1
Denia
12 May
Denia
0 : 0
Ilicitano
05 May
Borriol
2 : 0
Denia
01 May
Denia
1 : 1
La Nucia
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Ribarroja

(Away)
17 May
Castellon
1 : 2
Ribarroja
03 May
Ontinyent
5 : 0
Ribarroja
26 Apr
Ribarroja
1 : 0
Levante B
22 Apr
Alzira
2 : 0
Ribarroja
19 Apr
Orihuela
1 : 0
Ribarroja
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ilicitano 40 20 11 9 48:28 71
2 Novelda CF 40 21 8 11 50:37 71
3 Alzira 40 21 6 13 50:39 69
4 Castellon 40 18 14 8 58:29 68
5 La Nucia 40 16 14 10 47:36 62
6 Muro 40 17 8 15 53:47 59
7 Villarreal C 40 16 11 13 53:50 59
8 Borriol 40 14 15 11 52:39 57
9 Utiel 40 15 11 14 44:40 56
10 Eldense 40 12 17 11 45:39 53
11 Atletico Saguntino 40 15 8 17 36:46 53
12 Torrevieja 40 13 13 14 45:42 52
13 Espanol de San Vicente 40 13 11 16 44:48 50
14 CD Llosa 40 12 14 14 44:46 50
15 Gandia 40 13 11 16 36:39 50
16 Ribarroja 40 12 12 16 35:46 48
17 Acero 40 12 12 16 49:59 48
18 Burriana 40 12 11 17 40:57 47
19 Crevillente 40 10 15 15 41:52 45
20 Denia 40 10 12 18 43:56 42
21 Catarroja CF 40 6 10 24 29:67 28
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)