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Denmark U21 vs Finland U21

Europe Europe

Euro U21 2025 Košická futbalová aréna, Košice
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Harder C.
Assist: Jorgensen T.
44'
Terho C.
46'
Sub
Fraulo O. In: Kvistgaarden M.
Out: Fraulo O.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Euro U21 2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Denmark U21
30%
Draws
43%
Finland U21
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Finland U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Denmark U21 haven't matched Finland U21's recent run of results.
  • 43% — that's where the model lands on Finland U21 taking it.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Denmark U21 here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Denmark U21 Clean Sheet 10%
Finland U21 Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Denmark U21 Finland U21
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 12 16
Draws 9 5
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 1.93 2.31
Goals Conceded 1.57 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 2.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 18, 2025 Euro U21
Denmark U21 vs Finland U21
2:2
Oct 13, 2020 Euro U21
Denmark U21 vs Finland U21
2:1
Oct 14, 2019 Euro U21
Finland U21 vs Denmark U21
0:1
Sep 7, 2018 Euro U21
Denmark U21 vs Finland U21
2:0
Oct 10, 2017 Euro U21
Finland U21 vs Denmark U21
0:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Denmark U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Harder C.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Finland U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Skytta N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Keskinen T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.33
Avg xA / game 1.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Denmark U21 14 / 100
Finland U21 66 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Denmark U21 Finland U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Finland U21 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Denmark U21's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Denmark U21 stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Finland U21 let in goals in 59% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Denmark U21 VS Finland U21
1.75 Goals Scored 3.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Denmark U21

(Home)
31 Mar
Denmark U21
4 : 0
Wales U21
18 Nov
Belarus U21
0 : 1
Denmark U21
14 Nov
Denmark U21
1 : 1
USA U21
14 Oct
Belgium U21
2 : 0
Denmark U21
10 Oct
Denmark U21
1 : 1
Austria U21
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Finland U21

(Away)
08 Jun
Norway U21
0 : 2
Finland U21
04 Jun
Sweden U21
1 : 3
Finland U21
31 Mar
Finland U21
3 : 0
Cyprus U21
26 Mar
San Marino U21
0 : 8
Finland U21
18 Nov
Finland U21
0 : 0
Kosovo U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spain U21 3 2 1 0 6:4 7
2 Italy U21 3 2 1 0 3:1 7
3 Slovakia U21 3 1 0 2 4:5 3
4 Romania U21 3 0 0 3 2:5 0
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Germany U21 3 3 0 0 9:3 9
2 England U21 3 1 1 1 4:3 4
3 Czech Republic U21 3 1 0 2 5:7 3
4 Slovenia U21 3 0 1 2 0:5 1
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portugal U21 3 2 1 0 9:0 7
2 France U21 3 2 1 0 7:3 7
3 Georgia U21 3 1 0 2 4:8 3
4 Poland U21 3 0 0 3 2:11 0
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Denmark U21 3 2 1 0 7:5 7
2 Netherlands U21 3 1 1 1 5:4 4
3 Ukraine U21 3 1 0 2 4:5 3
4 Finland U21 3 0 2 1 4:6 2
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Play Offs)