Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Denmark vs Greece

World World

World Championship 2026 Parken Stadium, Copenhagen
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Hojlund R.
40' Event
Andersen J.
Assist: Damsgaard M.
41' Event
Damsgaard M.
Assist: Froholdt V.

AI Match Summary

Denmark in this World Championship 2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Denmark.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Denmark
35%
Draws
19%
Greece
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Denmark

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Greece have won more games recently than Denmark.
  • Denmark are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this World Championship 2026 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Denmark Clean Sheet 68%
Greece Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Denmark Greece
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 15
Draws 9 4
Losses 7 11
Goals Scored 1.73 1.77
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 12, 2025 World Championship
Denmark vs Greece
3:1
Sep 8, 2025 World Championship
Greece vs Denmark
0:3
Feb 11, 2009 Friendly International
Greece vs Denmark
1:1
Oct 8, 2005 World Championship
Denmark vs Greece
1:0
Feb 9, 2005 World Championship
Greece vs Denmark
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Denmark Compare

Top Goalscorer Hojlund R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Andersen J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Greece Compare

Top Goalscorer Tzolis C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Denmark 59 / 100
Greece 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Denmark Greece

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Denmark Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Denmark scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Denmark has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Greece has conceded goals in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Denmark VS Greece
3.13 Goals Scored 1.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Denmark

(Home)
07 Jun
Denmark
2 : 1
Ukraine
03 Jun
D.R. Congo
0 : 0
Denmark
31 Mar
Czech Republic
3 : 2
Denmark
26 Mar
Denmark
4 : 0
North Macedonia
18 Nov
Scotland
4 : 2
Denmark
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Greece

(Away)
07 Jun
Greece
0 : 1
Italy
04 Jun
Sweden
2 : 2
Greece
31 Mar
Hungary
0 : 0
Greece
27 Mar
Greece
0 : 1
Paraguay
18 Nov
Belarus
0 : 0
Greece
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Germany 6 5 0 1 16:3 15
2 Slovakia 6 4 0 2 6:8 12
3 Northern Ireland 6 3 0 3 7:6 9
4 Luxembourg 6 0 0 6 1:13 0
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League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Switzerland 6 4 2 0 14:2 14
2 Kosovo 6 3 2 1 6:5 11
3 Slovenia 6 0 4 2 3:8 4
4 Sweden 6 0 2 4 4:12 2
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League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Scotland 6 4 1 1 13:7 13
2 Denmark 6 3 2 1 16:7 11
3 Greece 6 2 1 3 10:12 7
4 Belarus 6 0 2 4 4:17 2
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League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 France 6 5 1 0 16:4 16
2 Ukraine 6 3 1 2 10:11 10
3 Iceland 6 2 1 3 13:11 7
4 Azerbaijan 6 0 1 5 3:16 1
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League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spain 6 5 1 0 21:2 16
2 Turkey 6 4 1 1 17:12 13
3 Georgia 6 1 0 5 7:15 3
4 Bulgaria 6 1 0 5 3:19 3
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League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portugal 6 4 1 1 20:7 13
2 Ireland 6 3 1 2 9:7 10
3 Hungary 6 2 2 2 11:10 8
4 Armenia 6 1 0 5 3:19 3
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League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Netherlands 8 6 2 0 27:4 20
2 Poland 8 5 2 1 14:7 17
3 Finland 8 3 1 4 8:14 10
4 Malta 8 1 2 5 4:19 5
5 Lithuania 8 0 3 5 6:15 3
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League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Austria 8 6 1 1 22:4 19
2 Bosnia & Herzegovina 8 5 2 1 17:7 17
3 Romania 8 4 1 3 19:10 13
4 Cyprus 8 2 2 4 11:11 8
5 San Marino 8 0 0 8 2:39 0
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League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Norway 8 8 0 0 37:5 24
2 Italy 8 6 0 2 21:12 18
3 Israel 8 4 0 4 19:20 12
4 Estonia 8 1 1 6 8:21 4
5 Moldova 8 0 1 7 5:32 1
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League Standings (Group 10)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Belgium 8 5 3 0 29:7 18
2 Wales 8 5 1 2 21:11 16
3 North Macedonia 8 3 4 1 13:10 13
4 Kazakhstan 8 2 2 4 9:13 8
5 Liechtenstein 8 0 0 8 0:31 0
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League Standings (Group 11)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 England 8 8 0 0 22:0 24
2 Albania 8 4 2 2 7:5 14
3 Serbia 8 4 1 3 9:10 13
4 Latvia 8 1 2 5 5:15 5
5 Andorra 8 0 1 7 3:16 1
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League Standings (Group 12)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Croatia 8 7 1 0 26:4 22
2 Czech Republic 8 5 1 2 18:8 16
3 Faroe Islands 8 4 0 4 11:9 12
4 Montenegro 8 3 0 5 8:17 9
5 Gibraltar 8 0 0 8 3:28 0
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