Sport Picks
Match Events
15'
15'
Oyarzabal M.
Assist: Perez A.
33'
33'
Norgaard C.
58'
58'
Perez A.
Assist: Olmo D.
AI Match Summary
Spain in this UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Spain.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
18%
22%
60%
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Spain
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
82%
/ Very High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Spain lately — more wins on the board than Denmark.
- 60% — that's where the model lands on Spain taking it.
- European nights carry their own weight — this UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- These two have met 5 times recently and Spain have taken 5 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 73%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Denmark Clean Sheet 13%
Spain Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Denmark | Spain |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 14 | 22 |
| Draws | 9 | 6 |
| Losses | 7 | 1 |
| Goals Scored | 2 | 1.63 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.67 | 0.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.00 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.67 | 0.50 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Nov 15, 2024 UEFA Nations League
Denmark vs Spain
1:2
Oct 12, 2024 UEFA Nations League
Spain vs Denmark
1:0
Aug 20, 2008 Friendly International
Denmark vs Spain
0:3
Oct 13, 2007 Euro
Denmark vs Spain
1:3
Mar 24, 2007 Euro
Spain vs Denmark
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Denmark Compare
Top Goalscorer Isaksen G.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1
Spain Compare
Top Goalscorer Oyarzabal M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Perez A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Denmark 19 / 100
Spain 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Denmark Spain
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick SPA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Denmark found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).
These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.
Solid form: Denmark remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Spain's defensive record shows goals conceded in 41% of 29 matches.
Scoring Trends
Denmark VS Spain
2 Goals Scored 1.63
1.67 Goals Conceded 0.5
83% Over 1.5 63%
83% Over 2.5 50%
67% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Denmark
(Home) 07 Jun
Denmark
2 : 1 Ukraine
03 Jun
D.R. Congo
0 : 0 Denmark
31 Mar
Czech Republic
3 : 2 Denmark
26 Mar
Denmark
4 : 0 North Macedonia
18 Nov
Scotland
4 : 2 Denmark
Page 1 of 6
07 Jun
Denmark
2 : 1 Ukraine
26 Mar
Denmark
4 : 0 North Macedonia
15 Nov
Denmark
2 : 2 Belarus
12 Oct
Denmark
3 : 1 Greece
05 Sept
Denmark
0 : 0 Scotland
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Spain
(Away) 19 Jul
Spain
1 : 0 Argentina
14 Jul
France
0 : 2 Spain
10 Jul
Spain
2 : 1 Belgium
06 Jul
Portugal
0 : 1 Spain
02 Jul
Spain
3 : 0 Austria
Page 1 of 6
14 Jul
France
0 : 2 Spain
06 Jul
Portugal
0 : 1 Spain
27 Jun
Uruguay
0 : 1 Spain
09 Jun
Peru
1 : 3 Spain
15 Nov
Georgia
0 : 4 Spain
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Portugal | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 13:5 | 14 |
| 2 | Croatia | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8:8 | 8 |
| 3 | Scotland | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:8 | 7 |
| 4 | Poland | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 9:16 | 4 |
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (League A - Play Offs)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (League A/B - Relegation)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (League B)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | France | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12:6 | 13 |
| 2 | Italy | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 13:8 | 13 |
| 3 | Belgium | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6:9 | 4 |
| 4 | Israel | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5:13 | 4 |
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (League A - Play Offs)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (League A/B - Relegation)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (League B)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Germany | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 18:4 | 14 |
| 2 | Netherlands | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 13:7 | 9 |
| 3 | Hungary | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4:11 | 6 |
| 4 | Bosnia & Herzegovina | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4:17 | 2 |
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (League A - Play Offs)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (League A/B - Relegation)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (League B)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spain | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 13:4 | 16 |
| 2 | Denmark | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7:5 | 8 |
| 3 | Serbia | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3:6 | 6 |
| 4 | Switzerland | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6:14 | 2 |
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (League A - Play Offs)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (League A/B - Relegation)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (League B)