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Stadium Background

Denmark W vs Finland W Prediction & H2H Stats

Europe Europe

UEFA Nations League Women Parken Stadium, Copenhagen
Our Tip

Match Events

58'
Sub
Svava S. In: Walter A.
Out: Svava S.
58'
Sub
Gejl M. In: Kuhl K.
Out: Gejl M.
58'
Sub
Thogersen F. In: Holmgaard S.
Out: Thogersen F.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-0. This leg finished 2-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Denmark W
20%
Draws
46%
Finland W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Finland W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Denmark W have won more games recently than Finland W.
  • Win probability leans Finland W's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Denmark W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Denmark W, who have won 4 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Denmark W have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Denmark W Clean Sheet 20%
Finland W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Denmark W Finland W
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 15 13
Draws 4 8
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 1.86 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 28, 2025 UEFA Nations League Women
Denmark W vs Finland W
2:0
Oct 24, 2025 UEFA Nations League Women
Finland W vs Denmark W
1:6
Jul 12, 2022 Euro Women
Denmark W vs Finland W
1:0
Jan 21, 2019 Friendly International Women
Denmark W vs Finland W
1:0
Apr 11, 2017 Friendly International Women
Denmark W vs Finland W
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Denmark W Compare

Top Goalscorer Kuhl K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Finland W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Denmark W 24 / 100
Finland W 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Denmark W Finland W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Finland W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Solid form: Denmark W remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Denmark W scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Finland W has conceded goals in 62% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Denmark W VS Finland W
2 Goals Scored 1.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Denmark W

(Home)
09 Jun
Serbia W
1 : 4
Denmark W
05 Jun
Denmark W
2 : 1
Sweden W
18 Apr
Denmark W
0 : 0
Italy W
14 Apr
Sweden W
1 : 2
Denmark W
07 Mar
Italy W
1 : 1
Denmark W
Page 1 of 6

Finland W

(Away)
09 Jun
Finland W
3 : 1
Portugal W
05 Jun
Slovakia W
0 : 4
Finland W
18 Apr
Latvia W
0 : 1
Finland W
14 Apr
Finland W
4 : 2
Slovakia W
07 Mar
Finland W
3 : 1
Latvia W
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Northern Ireland W 0
Iceland W 5
Finland W 1
Denmark W 8
Ireland W 5
Belgium W 4
Czech Republic W 1
Austria W 2