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Denver Summit W vs Houston Dash W Prediction & H2H Stats

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NWSL Women Dick's Sporting Goods Park, Commerce City, CO
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Ryan Y.
Assist: Sonis J.
15' Event
Rader K.
Assist: Ullmark L.
45' Event
Sonis J.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this NWSL Women matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Denver Summit W
30%
Draws
23%
Houston Dash W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Denver Summit W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Denver Summit W lately — more wins on the board than Houston Dash W.
  • Win probability leans Denver Summit W's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular NWSL Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Denver Summit W Clean Sheet 17%
Houston Dash W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Denver Summit W Houston Dash W
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 11 8
Draws 8 7
Losses 9 14
Goals Scored 1.75 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.39 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 12, 2026 NWSL Women
Denver Summit W vs Houston Dash W
2:2
May 10, 2026 NWSL Women
Houston Dash W vs Denver Summit W
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Denver Summit W Compare

Top Goalscorer Ryan Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Houston Dash W Compare

Top Goalscorer Rader K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ullmark L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Denver Summit W 57 / 100
Houston Dash W 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Denver Summit W Houston Dash W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Denver Summit W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Houston Dash W let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.50 goals when they meet.

Denver Summit W's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Denver Summit W has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Denver Summit W VS Houston Dash W
2.38 Goals Scored 1.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Denver Summit W

(Home)
26 Sept
Kansas City Current W
4 : 1
Denver Summit W
20 Sept
Denver Summit W
2 : 1
Seattle Reign W
17 Sept
Denver Summit W
2 : 2
Bay FC W
12 Sept
Angel City W
3 : 3
Denver Summit W
06 Sept
Denver Summit W
3 : 0
Gotham FC W
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Houston Dash W

(Away)
27 Sept
Portland Thorns FC W
1 : 1
Houston Dash W
20 Sept
Boston Legacy W
1 : 2
Houston Dash W
13 Sept
Houston Dash W
0 : 1
Utah Royals W
07 Sept
Orlando Pride W
3 : 1
Houston Dash W
30 Aug
Seattle Reign W
1 : 0
Houston Dash W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gotham FC W 26 16 6 4 34:20 54
2 San Diego Wave W 26 15 3 8 38:27 48
3 Washington Spirit W 26 14 4 8 36:24 46
4 Utah Royals W 26 14 3 9 43:34 45
5 Portland Thorns FC W 26 12 7 7 43:35 43
6 Angel City W 26 12 6 8 44:28 42
7 Kansas City Current W 26 12 5 9 43:37 41
8 Seattle Reign W 26 12 4 10 33:31 40
9 North Carolina Courage W 26 12 3 11 49:39 39
10 Denver Summit W 26 9 8 9 42:37 35
11 Orlando Pride W 26 10 3 13 35:41 33
12 Houston Dash W 26 8 6 12 32:36 30
13 Bay FC W 26 7 5 14 27:37 26
14 Boston Legacy W 26 7 5 14 32:44 26
15 Racing Louisville W 26 7 2 17 35:51 23
16 Chicago Stars W 26 5 2 19 15:60 17
Promotion - NWSL Women (Play Offs)