Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Denver Summit W vs North Carolina Courage W

USA USA

NWSL Women Centennial Stadium, Centennial, CO
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Denver Summit W host North Carolina Courage W in the NWSL Women. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Recent numbers: Denver Summit W at 1.88 goals for, 1.63 against; North Carolina Courage W at 1.75 for, 1.25 against. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. Model xG sits at 1.56 vs 1.69, favoring Denver Summit W. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Denver Summit W
20%
Draws
38%
North Carolina Courage W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Denver Summit W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to North Carolina Courage W lately — more wins on the board than Denver Summit W.
  • Denver Summit W are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Denver Summit W Clean Sheet 13%
North Carolina Courage W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Denver Summit W North Carolina Courage W
Matches Played 16 28
Wins 7 12
Draws 4 7
Losses 5 9
Goals Scored 1.88 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Denver Summit W 40 / 100
North Carolina Courage W 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Denver Summit W North Carolina Courage W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Denver Summit W found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (16 games).

North Carolina Courage W has conceded goals in 79% of their last 28 outings.

Denver Summit W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

North Carolina Courage W lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Denver Summit W VS North Carolina Courage W
1.88 Goals Scored 1.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Denver Summit W

(Home)
18 Jul
Denver Summit W
2 : 1
Portland Thorns FC W
12 Jul
Denver Summit W
2 : 2
Houston Dash W
04 Jul
Denver Summit W
0 : 3
Kansas City Current W
30 May
Racing Louisville W
0 : 1
Denver Summit W
23 May
Utah Royals W
2 : 1
Denver Summit W
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North Carolina Courage W

(Away)
18 Jul
Bay FC W
3 : 0
North Carolina Courage W
11 Jul
North Carolina Courage W
0 : 2
Washington Spirit W
04 Jul
North Carolina Courage W
3 : 1
Seattle Reign W
31 May
Angel City W
1 : 2
North Carolina Courage W
23 May
Racing Louisville W
1 : 2
North Carolina Courage W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Gotham FC W1694321:1231
2Washington Spirit W1593324:1230
3San Diego Wave W1692523:1729
4Portland Thorns FC W1784527:2028
5Utah Royals W1583422:1627
6Kansas City Current W1681723:2325
7Orlando Pride W1772822:2123
8Angel City W1471622:1422
9North Carolina Courage W1463520:1921
10Denver Summit W1454521:1919
11Houston Dash W1654719:2419
12Boston Legacy W1754818:2319
13Bay FC W1553716:2018
14Seattle Reign W1452715:1917
15Chicago Stars W1640128:3112
16Racing Louisville W14221016:278
Promotion - NWSL Women (Play Offs)