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Denzlingen vs Backnang

Germany Germany

Oberliga Baden-Württemberg 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Denzlingen in this Oberliga Baden-Württemberg 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Denzlingen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Denzlingen
15%
Draws
85%
Backnang
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Backnang

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Backnang lately — more wins on the board than Denzlingen.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Backnang taking it.
  • Regular Oberliga Baden-Württemberg 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 85%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 85%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Denzlingen Clean Sheet 10%
Backnang Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Denzlingen Backnang
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 4 14
Draws 3 5
Losses 23 12
Goals Scored 0.97 1.87
Goals Conceded 2.43 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 Oberliga Baden-Württemberg
Denzlingen vs Backnang
3:2
Oct 4, 2025 Oberliga Baden-Württemberg
Backnang vs Denzlingen
1:0
Feb 24, 2024 Oberliga Baden-Württemberg
Denzlingen vs Backnang
2:2
Aug 19, 2023 Oberliga Baden-Württemberg
Backnang vs Denzlingen
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Denzlingen 10 / 100
Backnang 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Denzlingen Backnang

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Backnang Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Backnang's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.25 goals when they meet.

Denzlingen's goal record stands at 53% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Backnang's recent record shows 1 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Denzlingen VS Backnang
1 Goals Scored 1.38
2.75 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Denzlingen

(Home)
30 May
Goppinger
5 : 0
Denzlingen
23 May
Denzlingen
0 : 3
FC Normannia Gmund
16 May
Bietigheim-Bissingen
3 : 1
Denzlingen
09 May
Denzlingen
1 : 4
FC Nottingen
02 May
Ravensburg
2 : 1
Denzlingen
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Backnang

(Away)
21 Aug
Backnang
2 : 1
FC Nottingen
15 Aug
Teningen
1 : 4
Backnang
08 Aug
Backnang
5 : 0
1. FC Muhlhausen
30 May
Aalen
4 : 1
Backnang
23 May
Backnang
1 : 0
Goppinger
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aalen 34 26 5 3 87:24 83
2 VfR Mannheim 34 20 9 5 81:34 69
3 FC Nottingen 34 18 4 12 82:61 58
4 Ravensburg 34 16 9 9 61:52 57
5 TSV Essingen 34 14 12 8 54:58 54
6 Oberachern 34 16 6 12 54:62 54
7 1. CfR Pforzheim 34 12 12 10 68:61 48
8 Reutlingen 34 12 11 11 56:50 47
9 FC 08 Villingen 34 12 11 11 55:56 47
10 Karlsruher II 34 11 10 13 54:61 43
11 Backnang 34 12 6 16 50:67 42
12 Turkish SV Singen 34 12 4 18 55:81 40
13 FC Normannia Gmund 34 9 12 13 53:51 39
14 Turkspor Neckarsulm 34 11 6 17 52:61 39
15 Goppinger 34 9 9 16 53:53 36
16 Hollenbach 34 9 8 17 56:69 35
17 Bietigheim-Bissingen 34 7 12 15 54:81 33
18 Denzlingen 34 5 4 25 35:78 19
Promotion - Regionalliga Sudwest (Main)
Promotion - Oberliga Hessen 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)