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Dep. A Coruna vs Valencia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

LaLiga Estadio Municipal de Riazor, La Coruña
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Tarrega C.
Own Goal
17' Event
Aubameyang P.
Assist: Soriano M.
26' Event
Sadiq U.

AI Match Summary

Dep. A Coruna in this LaLiga matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Dep. A Coruna.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Dep. A Coruna
30%
Draws
35%
Valencia
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Dep. A Coruna have won more games recently than Valencia.
  • Win probability leans Dep. A Coruna's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.400000000000006%
Dep. A Coruna Clean Sheet 68%
Valencia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dep. A Coruna Valencia
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 12 11
Draws 12 4
Losses 4 14
Goals Scored 1.46 1.24
Goals Conceded 0.96 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 LaLiga
Dep. A Coruna vs Valencia
3:1
May 20, 2018 LaLiga
Valencia vs Dep. A Coruna
2:1
Jan 13, 2018 LaLiga
Dep. A Coruna vs Valencia
1:2
Apr 2, 2017 LaLiga
Valencia vs Dep. A Coruna
3:0
Oct 31, 2016 LaLiga
Dep. A Coruna vs Valencia
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dep. A Coruna Compare

Top Goalscorer Aubameyang P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Valencia Compare

Top Goalscorer Sadiq U.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dep. A Coruna 77 / 100
Valencia 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dep. A Coruna Valencia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dep. A Coruna Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dep. A Coruna scored in 89% of their last 28 games.

Valencia's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Dep. A Coruna remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Dep. A Coruna VS Valencia
1.25 Goals Scored 0.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Dep. A Coruna

(Home)
02 Oct
Dep. A Coruna
1 : 3
FC Porto
25 Sept
Penafiel
2 : 2
Dep. A Coruna
20 Sept
Dep. A Coruna
1 : 1
Betis
16 Sept
Dep. A Coruna
0 : 1
Sevilla
13 Sept
Getafe
1 : 1
Dep. A Coruna
Page 1 of 6

Valencia

(Away)
20 Sept
Valencia
2 : 3
Real Sociedad
15 Sept
Alaves
0 : 1
Valencia
11 Sept
Sevilla
1 : 0
Valencia
06 Sept
Valencia
0 : 5
Barcelona
30 Aug
Dep. A Coruna
3 : 1
Valencia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Barcelona 7 7 0 0 31:7 21
2 Atl. Madrid 7 5 1 1 16:7 16
3 Betis 7 5 1 1 9:7 16
4 Real Madrid 7 5 0 2 18:8 15
5 Sevilla 7 4 1 2 10:9 13
6 Alaves 7 3 2 2 11:6 11
7 Dep. A Coruna 7 2 4 1 10:8 10
8 Real Sociedad 7 3 1 3 9:13 10
9 Villarreal 7 2 2 3 13:12 8
10 Ath Bilbao 6 2 2 2 7:6 8
11 Getafe 7 2 2 3 4:7 8
12 Rayo Vallecano 7 2 2 3 11:16 8
13 Osasuna 7 2 2 3 6:13 8
14 Celta Vigo 7 1 4 2 8:6 7
15 Espanyol 7 2 1 4 10:10 7
16 Racing Santander 7 2 1 4 11:21 7
17 Levante 6 1 2 3 8:12 5
18 Elche 7 1 2 4 11:17 5
19 Valencia 7 1 1 5 4:13 4
20 Malaga 7 0 3 4 3:12 3
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - LaLiga2 2027/2028 (Main)