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Dep. A Coruna W vs Atl. Madrid W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Liga F Women Estadio Municipal de Riazor, La Coruña
Dep. A Coruna W Logo

Dep. A Coruna W

1 - 2
FT
Atl. Madrid W Logo

Atl. Madrid W

Our Tip

Match Events

39' Event
Gio Garbelini
Assist: Otermin R.
46'
Sub
Dominguez S. In: Gomez A.
Out: Dominguez S.
62'
Sub
Pardo L. In: Hernandez P.
Out: Pardo L.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Liga F Women game between Dep. A Coruna W and Atl. Madrid W finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Atl. Madrid W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Dep. A Coruna W
20%
Draws
51%
Atl. Madrid W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Atl. Madrid W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Atl. Madrid W come out ahead of Dep. A Coruna W on wins alone.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Dep. A Coruna W taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Dep. A Coruna W Clean Sheet 20%
Atl. Madrid W Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dep. A Coruna W Atl. Madrid W
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 9 14
Draws 6 6
Losses 15 12
Goals Scored 1.3 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2026 Liga F Women
Dep. A Coruna W vs Atl. Madrid W
1:2
Apr 5, 2026 Liga F Women
Atl. Madrid W vs Dep. A Coruna W
2:0
Oct 19, 2025 Liga F Women
Dep. A Coruna W vs Atl. Madrid W
1:1
Feb 16, 2025 Liga F Women
Dep. A Coruna W vs Atl. Madrid W
0:0
Sep 15, 2024 Liga F Women
Atl. Madrid W vs Dep. A Coruna W
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dep. A Coruna W Compare

Top Goalscorer Pizarro E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Atl. Madrid W Compare

Top Goalscorer Gio Garbelini
1 Goals
Assists Leader Iannuzzi F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dep. A Coruna W 42 / 100
Atl. Madrid W 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dep. A Coruna W Atl. Madrid W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dep. A Coruna W found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Atl. Madrid W conceded in 66% of 32 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Dep. A Coruna W has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Dep. A Coruna W VS Atl. Madrid W
0.88 Goals Scored 0.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 38%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Dep. A Coruna W

(Home)
03 Oct
Dep. A Coruna W
1 : 2
Atl. Madrid W
27 Sept
Dep. A Coruna W
1 : 1
Espanyol W
20 Sept
Granada CF W
0 : 3
Dep. A Coruna W
11 Sept
Dep. A Coruna W
0 : 2
Real Madrid W
06 Sept
Costa Adeje Tenerife W
0 : 0
Dep. A Coruna W
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Atl. Madrid W

(Away)
03 Oct
Dep. A Coruna W
1 : 2
Atl. Madrid W
27 Sept
Athletic Bilbao W
3 : 2
Atl. Madrid W
19 Sept
Atl. Madrid W
1 : 0
Logrono W
12 Sept
Barcelona W
4 : 2
Atl. Madrid W
06 Sept
Atl. Madrid W
1 : 0
Alaves W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Barcelona W 6 6 0 0 28:2 18
2 Madrid CFF W 6 4 1 1 11:9 13
3 Real Madrid W 6 4 1 1 13:13 13
4 Athletic Bilbao W 6 3 2 1 11:8 11
5 Eibar W 6 3 2 1 4:4 11
6 Atl. Madrid W 6 3 0 3 10:11 9
7 Espanyol W 6 2 2 2 9:6 8
8 Badalona W 6 2 2 2 9:8 8
9 Costa Adeje Tenerife W 6 2 2 2 6:11 8
10 Sevilla W 6 2 1 3 7:10 7
11 Granada CF W 6 2 1 3 5:9 7
12 Logrono W 6 2 0 4 5:7 6
13 Alaves W 6 2 0 4 3:9 6
14 Dep. A Coruna W 6 1 2 3 5:6 5
15 Real Sociedad W 6 1 2 3 7:11 5
16 Valencia W 6 0 0 6 4:13 0
Relegation - Primera Federacion Women 2027/2028 (Main)