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Dep. A Coruna W vs Real Madrid W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Liga F Women Estadio Municipal de Riazor, La Coruña
Our Tip

Match Events

6'
Millene
9' Event
Caicedo L.
Penalty Missed
21'
Andersson B.

AI Match Summary

The Liga F Women game between Dep. A Coruna W and Real Madrid W finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Real Madrid W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
Dep. A Coruna W
35%
Draws
40%
Real Madrid W
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Real Madrid W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Real Madrid W come out ahead of Dep. A Coruna W on wins alone.
  • Dep. A Coruna W are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Real Madrid W have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Dep. A Coruna W Clean Sheet 18%
Real Madrid W Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dep. A Coruna W Real Madrid W
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 9 22
Draws 6 4
Losses 15 5
Goals Scored 1.3 1.97
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.35
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 11, 2026 Liga F Women
Dep. A Coruna W vs Real Madrid W
0:2
Aug 16, 2026 Club Friendly Women
Real Madrid W vs Dep. A Coruna W
2:1
Feb 1, 2026 Liga F Women
Dep. A Coruna W vs Real Madrid W
2:4
Sep 21, 2025 Liga F Women
Real Madrid W vs Dep. A Coruna W
4:0
Mar 15, 2025 Liga F Women
Real Madrid W vs Dep. A Coruna W
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dep. A Coruna W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Real Madrid W Compare

Top Goalscorer Caicedo L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Andersson B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dep. A Coruna W 41 / 100
Real Madrid W 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dep. A Coruna W Real Madrid W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.

Dep. A Coruna W scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Dep. A Coruna W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Real Madrid W conceded in 52% of 31 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Dep. A Coruna W VS Real Madrid W
1.38 Goals Scored 1.88
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Dep. A Coruna W

(Home)
03 Oct
Dep. A Coruna W
1 : 2
Atl. Madrid W
27 Sept
Dep. A Coruna W
1 : 1
Espanyol W
20 Sept
Granada CF W
0 : 3
Dep. A Coruna W
11 Sept
Dep. A Coruna W
0 : 2
Real Madrid W
06 Sept
Costa Adeje Tenerife W
0 : 0
Dep. A Coruna W
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Real Madrid W

(Away)
04 Oct
Barcelona W
7 : 0
Real Madrid W
01 Oct
Manchester City W
1 : 1
Real Madrid W
26 Sept
Real Sociedad W
3 : 5
Real Madrid W
22 Sept
Real Madrid W
1 : 1
PSG W
19 Sept
Real Madrid W
3 : 1
Valencia W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Barcelona W 6 6 0 0 28:2 18
2 Madrid CFF W 6 4 1 1 11:9 13
3 Real Madrid W 6 4 1 1 13:13 13
4 Athletic Bilbao W 6 3 2 1 11:8 11
5 Eibar W 6 3 2 1 4:4 11
6 Atl. Madrid W 6 3 0 3 10:11 9
7 Espanyol W 6 2 2 2 9:6 8
8 Badalona W 6 2 2 2 9:8 8
9 Costa Adeje Tenerife W 6 2 2 2 6:11 8
10 Sevilla W 6 2 1 3 7:10 7
11 Granada CF W 6 2 1 3 5:9 7
12 Logrono W 6 2 0 4 5:7 6
13 Alaves W 6 2 0 4 3:9 6
14 Dep. A Coruna W 6 1 2 3 5:6 5
15 Real Sociedad W 6 1 2 3 7:11 5
16 Valencia W 6 0 0 6 4:13 0
Relegation - Primera Federacion Women 2027/2028 (Main)