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Dep. Azogues vs Circulo Deportivo Ferroviarios

Ecuador Ecuador

Serie B 2013
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Serie B 2013 game between Dep. Azogues and Circulo Deportivo Ferroviarios finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Circulo Deportivo Ferroviarios.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Dep. Azogues
22%
Draws
18%
Circulo Deportivo Ferroviarios
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Dep. Azogues

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Dep. Azogues carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 60% — that's where the model lands on Dep. Azogues taking it.
  • Regular Serie B 2013 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Circulo Deportivo Ferroviarios have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Dep. Azogues Clean Sheet 20%
Circulo Deportivo Ferroviarios Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dep. Azogues Circulo Deportivo Ferroviarios
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 9 5
Draws 8 9
Losses 15 16
Goals Scored 0.75 0
Goals Conceded 0.5 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 19, 2013 Serie B
Circulo Deportivo Ferroviarios vs Dep. Azogues
3:1
Aug 18, 2013 Serie B
Dep. Azogues vs Circulo Deportivo Ferroviarios
1:2
May 11, 2013 Serie B
Dep. Azogues vs Circulo Deportivo Ferroviarios
1:0
Apr 20, 2013 Serie B
Circulo Deportivo Ferroviarios vs Dep. Azogues
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dep. Azogues 58 / 100
Circulo Deportivo Ferroviarios 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dep. Azogues Circulo Deportivo Ferroviarios

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AZO Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Circulo Deportivo Ferroviarios conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.25 goals when they meet.

Dep. Azogues found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (32 games).

Circulo Deportivo Ferroviarios's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Dep. Azogues VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
0.5 Goals Conceded 0
38% Over 1.5 0%
13% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Dep. Azogues

(Home)
28 Nov
Manta
8 : 0
Dep. Azogues
21 Nov
Dep. Azogues
1 : 2
Macara
14 Nov
LDU Portoviejo
2 : 1
Dep. Azogues
08 Nov
Dep. Azogues
2 : 0
Deportivo Quevedo
31 Oct
Imbabura
1 : 1
Dep. Azogues
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Circulo Deportivo Ferroviarios

(Away)
24 Nov
Aucas
5 : 1
Circulo Deportivo Ferroviarios
17 Nov
Circulo Deportivo Ferroviarios
0 : 3
Deportivo Municipal
13 Nov
CSCD Grecia
1 : 1
Circulo Deportivo Ferroviarios
09 Nov
Circulo Deportivo Ferroviarios
0 : 1
Olmedo
02 Nov
Mushuc Runa
1 : 1
Circulo Deportivo Ferroviarios
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Olmedo442951076:4392
2Mushuc Runa442491152:4481
3Imbabura4421111263:4774
4Aucas442161769:5369
5Guayaquil City4418141257:4368
6Tecnico U.4417141360:5365
7Deportivo Municipal441682048:6056
8Espoli4413102144:5549
9Univ. Cotopaxi441392248:5748
10Dep. Azogues4411132049:7046
11CSCD Grecia4411122144:6445
12Circulo Deportivo Ferroviarios448132347:6837
Promotion - Serie A 2014 (First stage)