Sport Picks

Ecuador

Serie B 2014

LDU Portoviejo

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Dep. Azogues play LDU Portoviejo in the Serie B 2014. It looks like a close match. Recently, Dep. Azogues averaged 1.11 goals scored and 1.25 conceded. LDU Portoviejo averaged 1.15 goals scored and 1.29 conceded. In past meetings, Dep. Azogues won 0, LDU Portoviejo won 2, and they drew 3. Their last match on Nov 14, 2015 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.10 for Dep. Azogues and 1.18 for LDU Portoviejo. This points to a LDU Portoviejo double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%

Dep. Azogues

35%

Draws

33%

LDU Portoviejo

Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: LDU Portoviejo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence

Dep. Azogues picked up more points recently compared to LDU Portoviejo.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.10 vs 1.18 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 61%

Over 2.5 Goals 41%

Over 3.5 Goals 25%

Over 4.5 Goals 12%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 46%

Dep. Azogues Clean Sheet 20%

LDU Portoviejo Clean Sheet 14%

First Half Goal 55%

Second Half Goal 58%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Dep. Azogues	LDU Portoviejo
Matches Played	36	41
Wins	12	15
Draws	11	8
Losses	13	18
Goals Scored	1.11	1.15
Goals Conceded	1.25	1.29

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 14, 2015 Serie B

LDU Portoviejo vs Dep. Azogues

Possession: 60% - 55% Cards: 3 - 2

2:1

Aug 2, 2015 Serie B

Dep. Azogues vs LDU Portoviejo

Possession: 59% - 52% Cards: 3 - 2

0:0

Jun 27, 2015 Serie B

LDU Portoviejo vs Dep. Azogues

Possession: 42% - 47% Cards: 3 - 2

0:0

Mar 14, 2015 Serie B

Dep. Azogues vs LDU Portoviejo

Possession: 42% - 53% Cards: 1 - 1

1:1

Nov 5, 2014 Serie B

Dep. Azogues vs LDU Portoviejo

Possession: 47% - 44% Cards: 2 - 2

0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dep. Azogues 33 / 100

LDU Portoviejo 33 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Dep. Azogues LDU Portoviejo

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: LDU Portoviejo or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +33.4%

4.17

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +17.3%

2.86

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Dep. Azogues attacking → ← attacking LDU Portoviejo

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dep. Azogues scored in 72% of their last 36 games.

LDU Portoviejo let in goals in 66% of their last 41 matches.

Games between these two average 1.20 goals.

Dep. Azogues went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

LDU Portoviejo lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

47 Points in last 5 53

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.25

0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Aucas	44	24	11	9	64:33	83
2	Guayaquil City	44	22	12	10	62:45	78
3	Tecnico U.	44	23	8	13	70:42	77
4	LDU Portoviejo	44	22	9	13	67:48	75
5	Macara	44	17	11	16	49:41	62
6	Deportivo Quevedo	44	16	11	17	52:62	59
7	Dep. Azogues	44	13	17	14	46:47	56
8	Delfin	44	15	10	19	43:49	55
9	Espoli	44	12	15	17	50:56	50
10	Imbabura	44	12	12	20	40:58	48
11	Univ. Cotopaxi	44	13	9	22	57:77	48
12	Deportivo Municipal	44	7	11	26	41:83	32