Sport Picks
Match Events
45'
45'
Reynoso E.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 1-0. This leg finished 1-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
46%
20%
34%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Dep. Cali
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
46%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Dep. Cali lately — more wins on the board than Alianza.
- Model gives Dep. Cali a 46% chance of winning this.
- Dep. Cali have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Dep. Cali, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Dep. Cali Clean Sheet 68%
Alianza Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Dep. Cali | Alianza |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 28 |
| Wins | 13 | 7 |
| Draws | 8 | 8 |
| Losses | 6 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.33 | 0.89 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.81 | 1.43 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 21, 2026 Copa Colombia
Dep. Cali vs Alianza
1:0
Mar 22, 2026 Primera A
Alianza vs Dep. Cali
1:0
Oct 28, 2025 Primera A
Dep. Cali vs Alianza
0:1
May 11, 2025 Primera A
Alianza vs Dep. Cali
2:0
Jul 22, 2024 Primera A
Dep. Cali vs Alianza
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Dep. Cali Compare
Top Goalscorer Reynoso E.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66
Alianza Compare
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Dep. Cali 86 / 100
Alianza 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Dep. Cali Alianza
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Dep. Cali Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Dep. Cali found the back of the net in 78% of recent matches (27 games).
Defensive concern: Alianza conceded in 75% of 28 recent games.
Solid form: Dep. Cali remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Alianza lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Dep. Cali VS Alianza
1.25 Goals Scored 0.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 38%
63% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Dep. Cali
(Home) 19 Sept
Dep. Cali
3 : 0 Cucuta
13 Sept
Once Caldas
1 : 2 Dep. Cali
11 Sept
Millonarios
1 : 1 Dep. Cali
08 Sept
Atl. Nacional
3 : 0 Dep. Cali
31 Aug
Dep. Cali
1 : 1 Bucaramanga
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Dep. Cali
3 : 0 Cucuta
31 Aug
Dep. Cali
1 : 1 Bucaramanga
23 Aug
Dep. Cali
2 : 2 Inter Bogotá
25 Jul
Dep. Cali
2 : 0 Jaguares de Cordoba
21 May
Dep. Cali
1 : 0 Alianza
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Alianza
(Away) 19 Sept
Alianza
1 : 4 Santa Fe
16 Sept
Chico
1 : 2 Alianza
13 Sept
Alianza
1 : 0 Junior
10 Sept
Once Caldas
1 : 0 Alianza
03 Sept
America De Cali
3 : 0 Alianza
Page 1 of 6
16 Sept
Chico
1 : 2 Alianza
10 Sept
Once Caldas
1 : 0 Alianza
03 Sept
America De Cali
3 : 0 Alianza
26 Aug
Cucuta
1 : 0 Alianza
21 May
Dep. Cali
1 : 0 Alianza
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dep. Cali | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10:2 | 12 |
| 2 | Alianza | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:3 | 7 |
| 3 | Boca Juniors de Cali | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8:8 | 7 |
| 4 | Bucaramanga | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8:7 | 3 |
| 5 | Real Santander | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1:13 | 0 |
Promotion - Copa Colombia (First stage - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Millonarios | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 14:5 | 10 |
| 2 | Llaneros | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7:2 | 9 |
| 3 | Chico | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6:3 | 5 |
| 4 | Patriotas | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4:7 | 2 |
| 5 | Atletico F.C. | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2:16 | 1 |
Promotion - Copa Colombia (First stage - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ind. Medellin | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5:3 | 8 |
| 2 | Fortaleza C.E.I.F. | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5:3 | 5 |
| 3 | Leones | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4:5 | 5 |
| 4 | Cucuta | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2:3 | 3 |
| 5 | Orsomarso | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3:5 | 3 |
Promotion - Copa Colombia (First stage - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dep. Pereira | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4:2 | 8 |
| 2 | Real Cundinamarca | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:4 | 7 |
| 3 | Aguilas Doradas | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 7:4 | 6 |
| 4 | Jaguares de Cordoba | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:3 | 4 |
| 5 | Independiente Valle del Cauca | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2:10 | 1 |
Promotion - Copa Colombia (First stage - Play Offs)
