Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Dep. Cali vs Alianza

Colombia Colombia

Copa Colombia Estadio Deportivo Cali
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Reynoso E.

AI Match Summary

Dep. Cali in this Copa Colombia matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Dep. Cali.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Dep. Cali
6%
Draws
4%
Alianza
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Dep. Cali

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Dep. Cali lately — more wins on the board than Alianza.
  • Model gives Dep. Cali a 90% chance of winning this.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Copa Colombia fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
Dep. Cali Clean Sheet 68%
Alianza Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dep. Cali Alianza
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 8
Draws 8 10
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 1.63 1.25
Goals Conceded 0.63 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 21, 2026 Copa Colombia
Dep. Cali vs Alianza
1:0
Mar 22, 2026 Primera A
Alianza vs Dep. Cali
1:0
Oct 28, 2025 Primera A
Dep. Cali vs Alianza
0:1
May 11, 2025 Primera A
Alianza vs Dep. Cali
2:0
Jul 22, 2024 Primera A
Dep. Cali vs Alianza
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dep. Cali Compare

Top Goalscorer Reynoso E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Alianza Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dep. Cali 95 / 100
Alianza 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dep. Cali Alianza

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DEP Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Dep. Cali remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Dep. Cali found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Alianza let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 1.20 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Dep. Cali VS Alianza
1.63 Goals Scored 1.25
0.63 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Dep. Cali440010:212
2Alianza42116:37
3Boca Juniors de Cali42118:87
4Bucaramanga41038:73
5Real Santander40041:130
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Millonarios431014:510
2Llaneros43017:29
3Chico41216:35
4Patriotas40224:72
5Atletico F.C.40132:161
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ind. Medellin42205:38
2Fortaleza C.E.I.F.41215:35
3Leones41214:55
4Cucuta40312:33
5Orsomarso40313:53
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Dep. Pereira42204:28
2Real Cundinamarca42116:47
3Aguilas Doradas41307:46
4Jaguares de Cordoba41124:34
5Ind. Yumbo40132:101