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Dep. Cali vs Alianza - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Colombia Colombia

Primera A Estadio Deportivo Cali, Palmira
Dep. Cali Logo

Dep. Cali

3 - 1
FT
Alianza Logo

Alianza

Our Tip

Match Events

32'
Meza Mercado E. W.
41'
Caldera Alvis J. C.
46'
Sub
Quinones D. In: Palacios L.
Out: Quinones D.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Dep. Cali in this Primera A matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Dep. Cali.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Dep. Cali
15%
Draws
32%
Alianza
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Dep. Cali

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Dep. Cali lately — more wins on the board than Alianza.
  • Model gives Dep. Cali a 53% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Dep. Cali Clean Sheet 68%
Alianza Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dep. Cali Alianza
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 16 8
Draws 8 9
Losses 6 12
Goals Scored 1.4 1
Goals Conceded 0.77 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2026 Primera A
Dep. Cali vs Alianza
3:1
May 21, 2026 Copa Colombia
Dep. Cali vs Alianza
1:0
Mar 22, 2026 Primera A
Alianza vs Dep. Cali
1:0
Oct 28, 2025 Primera A
Dep. Cali vs Alianza
0:1
May 11, 2025 Primera A
Alianza vs Dep. Cali
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dep. Cali Compare

Top Goalscorer Dinenno J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Caldera Alvis J. C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Alianza Compare

Top Goalscorer Palacios L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dep. Cali 95 / 100
Alianza 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dep. Cali Alianza

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dep. Cali Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dep. Cali found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

Solid form: Dep. Cali remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Alianza has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Scoring Trends

Dep. Cali VS Alianza
1.38 Goals Scored 0.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Dep. Cali

(Home)
03 Oct
Dep. Cali
3 : 1
Alianza
28 Sept
Dep. Cali
2 : 0
Aguilas Doradas
23 Sept
Santa Fe
0 : 1
Dep. Cali
19 Sept
Dep. Cali
3 : 0
Cucuta
13 Sept
Once Caldas
1 : 2
Dep. Cali
Page 1 of 6

Alianza

(Away)
03 Oct
Dep. Cali
3 : 1
Alianza
27 Sept
Jaguares de Cordoba
1 : 2
Alianza
19 Sept
Alianza
1 : 4
Santa Fe
16 Sept
Chico
1 : 2
Alianza
13 Sept
Alianza
1 : 0
Junior
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 America De Cali 12 8 3 1 24:7 27
2 Dep. Cali 12 7 3 2 20:9 24
3 Atl. Nacional 11 7 2 2 21:10 23
4 Bucaramanga 11 6 5 0 20:10 23
5 Santa Fe 12 6 4 2 19:12 22
6 Millonarios 14 5 7 2 19:12 22
7 Ind. Medellin 12 6 2 4 19:16 20
8 Deportes Tolima 13 5 5 3 15:13 20
9 Once Caldas 13 4 4 5 16:16 16
10 Aguilas Doradas 12 3 6 3 16:17 15
11 Cucuta 12 4 3 5 15:19 15
12 Llaneros 13 4 2 7 15:17 14
13 Inter Bogotá 13 2 7 4 14:18 13
14 Chico 11 3 3 5 10:18 12
15 Alianza 13 3 3 7 14:26 12
16 Fortaleza C.E.I.F. 13 1 8 4 14:19 11
17 Junior 11 2 3 6 16:20 9
18 Dep. Pasto 12 2 3 7 9:18 9
19 Dep. Pereira 11 1 5 5 7:17 8
20 Jaguares de Cordoba 11 1 4 6 11:20 7
Promotion - Primera A (Clausura - Quadrangular)