Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Dep. Cali vs Bucaramanga

Colombia Colombia

Primera A Estadio Deportivo Cali, Palmira
Our Tip

Match Events

40'
Ortiz J.
40'
Hinestroza F.
41' Event
Rodriguez S.
Penalty Missed

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Primera A matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Dep. Cali
15%
Draws
39%
Bucaramanga
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Dep. Cali

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Bucaramanga haven't matched Dep. Cali's recent run of results.
  • 46% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Primera A form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Dep. Cali Clean Sheet 68%
Bucaramanga Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dep. Cali Bucaramanga
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 16 10
Draws 7 10
Losses 6 10
Goals Scored 1.41 1.5
Goals Conceded 0.76 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 31, 2026 Primera A
Dep. Cali vs Bucaramanga
1:1
May 11, 2026 Copa Colombia
Dep. Cali vs Bucaramanga
2:0
Feb 21, 2026 Primera A
Bucaramanga vs Dep. Cali
0:0
Jul 28, 2025 Primera A
Bucaramanga vs Dep. Cali
2:3
Jun 2, 2025 Copa Colombia
Bucaramanga vs Dep. Cali
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dep. Cali Compare

Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Bucaramanga Compare

Top Goalscorer Garcia J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dep. Cali 41 / 100
Bucaramanga 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dep. Cali Bucaramanga

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dep. Cali Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Dep. Cali stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Dep. Cali scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Bucaramanga's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Scoring Trends

Dep. Cali VS Bucaramanga
1.13 Goals Scored 2.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Dep. Cali

(Home)
03 Oct
Dep. Cali
3 : 1
Alianza
28 Sept
Dep. Cali
2 : 0
Aguilas Doradas
23 Sept
Santa Fe
0 : 1
Dep. Cali
19 Sept
Dep. Cali
3 : 0
Cucuta
13 Sept
Once Caldas
1 : 2
Dep. Cali
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Bucaramanga

(Away)
04 Oct
Bucaramanga
3 : 1
Junior
26 Sept
Once Caldas
1 : 3
Bucaramanga
20 Sept
Bucaramanga
2 : 0
Inter Bogotá
18 Sept
Bucaramanga
2 : 2
Ind. Medellin
13 Sept
Dep. Pereira
1 : 3
Bucaramanga
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 America De Cali 11 7 3 1 22:6 24
2 Dep. Cali 12 7 3 2 20:9 24
3 Atl. Nacional 10 7 1 2 21:10 22
4 Millonarios 13 5 6 2 18:11 21
5 Bucaramanga 10 5 5 0 17:9 20
6 Ind. Medellin 11 6 2 3 19:15 20
7 Santa Fe 11 5 4 2 18:12 19
8 Deportes Tolima 12 5 4 3 15:13 19
9 Cucuta 12 4 3 5 15:19 15
10 Llaneros 11 4 2 5 14:14 14
11 Aguilas Doradas 11 3 5 3 14:15 14
12 Once Caldas 12 3 4 5 15:16 13
13 Inter Bogotá 13 2 7 4 14:18 13
14 Chico 11 3 3 5 10:18 12
15 Alianza 12 3 2 7 12:24 11
16 Fortaleza C.E.I.F. 12 1 7 4 13:18 10
17 Junior 10 2 3 5 15:17 9
18 Dep. Pasto 12 2 3 7 9:18 9
19 Dep. Pereira 11 1 5 5 7:17 8
20 Jaguares de Cordoba 11 1 4 6 11:20 7
Promotion - Primera A (Clausura - Quadrangular)