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Dep. Cali vs Once Caldas

Colombia Colombia

Primera A Estadio Deportivo Cali
Our Tip

Match Events

14'
Moreno D.
15'
Caldera Alvis J. C.
35'
Aguilar F.

AI Match Summary

Once Caldas in this Primera A matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Once Caldas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Dep. Cali
6%
Draws
4%
Once Caldas
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Dep. Cali

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Dep. Cali lately — more wins on the board than Once Caldas.
  • Dep. Cali are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Primera A form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Dep. Cali Clean Sheet 68%
Once Caldas Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dep. Cali Once Caldas
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 10
Draws 8 14
Losses 9 5
Goals Scored 1.63 1.13
Goals Conceded 0.63 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2026 Primera A
Dep. Cali vs Once Caldas
0:2
Jan 11, 2026 Club Friendly
Dep. Cali vs Once Caldas
0:0
Nov 14, 2025 Primera A
Dep. Cali vs Once Caldas
1:1
May 25, 2025 Primera A
Once Caldas vs Dep. Cali
1:0
Sep 14, 2024 Primera A
Once Caldas vs Dep. Cali
4:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dep. Cali 95 / 100
Once Caldas 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dep. Cali Once Caldas

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DEP Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Dep. Cali stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Dep. Cali scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Once Caldas's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Dep. Cali VS Once Caldas
1.63 Goals Scored 1.13
0.63 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Atl. Nacional19131535:1540
2Junior19112631:2435
3Dep. Pasto19104529:2534
4America De Cali19103625:1533
5Once Caldas1989231:2233
6Deportes Tolima1987427:1731
7Santa Fe1978429:2229
8Inter Bogotá1977526:2628
9Dep. Cali1976620:1627
10Millonarios1975731:2326
11Ind. Medellin1975726:2426
12Aguilas Doradas1975720:2526
13Bucaramanga1958626:2023
14Llaneros19410517:2022
15Fortaleza C.E.I.F.1957722:2722
16Jaguares de Cordoba19531120:3318
17Alianza1938813:2717
18Chico19521215:3217
19Cucuta1937922:3516
20Dep. Pereira19171115:3210