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Dep. Cali W vs Atl. Nacional W

Colombia Colombia

Liga Women 2025 Estadio Deportivo Cali
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Dep. Cali W play Atl. Nacional W in the Liga Women 2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Dep. Cali W averaged 1.65 goals scored and 0.52 conceded. Atl. Nacional W averaged 1.7 goals scored and 0.7 conceded. In past meetings, Dep. Cali W won 2, Atl. Nacional W won 0, and they drew 3. Their last match on Sep 6, 2025 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.31 for Dep. Cali W and 0.94 for Atl. Nacional W. This points to a Dep. Cali W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Dep. Cali W
33%
Draws
32%
Atl. Nacional W
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Dep. Cali W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Dep. Cali W picked up more points recently compared to Atl. Nacional W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.31 vs 0.94 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 76%
Over 2.5 Goals 33%
Over 3.5 Goals 20%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 44%
Dep. Cali W Clean Sheet 24%
Atl. Nacional W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 68%
Second Half Goal 72%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dep. Cali W Atl. Nacional W
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 19 19
Draws 7 6
Losses 5 5
Goals Scored 1.65 1.7
Goals Conceded 0.52 0.7
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.38 0.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2025 Liga Women
Atl. Nacional W vs Dep. Cali W
1:2
Sep 2, 2025 Liga Women
Dep. Cali W vs Atl. Nacional W
1:1
May 24, 2025 Liga Women
Atl. Nacional W vs Dep. Cali W
0:2
Apr 14, 2024 Liga Women
Atl. Nacional W vs Dep. Cali W
1:1
Mar 11, 2023 Liga Women
Dep. Cali W vs Atl. Nacional W
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dep. Cali W Compare

Top Goalscorer Montoya Z.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Atl. Nacional W Compare

Top Goalscorer Gonzalez M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dep. Cali W 36 / 100
Atl. Nacional W 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dep. Cali W Atl. Nacional W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Dep. Cali W or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +29.5%
3.70
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +22.1%
3.70
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Dep. Cali W attacking → ← attacking Atl. Nacional W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dep. Cali W scored in 84% of their last 31 games.

Atl. Nacional W let in goals in 57% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Dep. Cali W went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Atl. Nacional W lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

64 Points in last 5 63
2.25 Goals expected (xG) 1.50
0.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.38