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Dep. Cali W vs Ind. Medellin W

Colombia Colombia

Liga Women 2025 Estadio Deportivo Cali
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Cobos L.
Assist: Ibarguen K.
51' Event
Gonzalez E.
Assist: Hurtado M.
57'
Sub
Hernandez N. In: Medina P.
Out: Hernandez N.

AI Match Summary

Dep. Cali W host Ind. Medellin W in the Liga Women 2025. Little to choose between these two on current form. Dep. Cali W have averaged 2.25 scored and 0.38 conceded recently, against Ind. Medellin W's 1.63 scored and 1.13 conceded. Head-to-head, Dep. Cali W have won 2 to Ind. Medellin W's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on Feb 14, 2026, ending 3:1. The numbers (1.69 xG vs 1.00) point toward Dep. Cali W. Dep. Cali W in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Dep. Cali W
6%
Draws
4%
Ind. Medellin W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Dep. Cali W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Dep. Cali W has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Ind. Medellin W.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Dep. Cali W.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Liga Women 2025 provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Dep. Cali W Clean Sheet 68%
Ind. Medellin W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dep. Cali W Ind. Medellin W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 18 11
Draws 7 6
Losses 5 13
Goals Scored 2.25 1.63
Goals Conceded 0.38 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.38 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 14, 2026 Liga Women
Dep. Cali W vs Ind. Medellin W
3:1
Aug 20, 2025 Liga Women
Dep. Cali W vs Ind. Medellin W
1:1
Aug 15, 2025 Liga Women
Ind. Medellin W vs Dep. Cali W
0:3
Jun 21, 2025 Liga Women
Ind. Medellin W vs Dep. Cali W
2:1
Jun 6, 2024 Liga Women
Ind. Medellin W vs Dep. Cali W
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dep. Cali W Compare

Top Goalscorer Cobos L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Ind. Medellin W Compare

Top Goalscorer Gonzalez E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dep. Cali W 95 / 100
Ind. Medellin W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dep. Cali W Ind. Medellin W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DEP Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dep. Cali W scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Ind. Medellin W let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Dep. Cali W went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Ind. Medellin W lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Dep. Cali W VS Ind. Medellin W
2.25 Goals Scored 1.63
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Orsomarso W63309:312
2Dep. Cali W62317:39
3Ind. Medellin W61327:126
4Inter Palmira W60333:83
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Atl. Nacional W650111:515
2Indep. Santa Fe W62135:67
3America de Cali W61325:86
4Millonarios W61236:85