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Dep. Cali W vs Indep. Santa Fe W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Colombia Colombia

Liga Women Estadio Deportivo Cali, Palmira
Our Tip

Match Events

5'
Zamorano M.
22'
Sub
Fisgativa A. In: Osorio K.
Out: Fisgativa A.
24' Event
Guerra I.
Assist: Salazar A.

AI Match Summary

Dep. Cali W in this Liga Women matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Dep. Cali W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Dep. Cali W
15%
Draws
31%
Indep. Santa Fe W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Dep. Cali W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Dep. Cali W have won more games recently than Indep. Santa Fe W.
  • Dep. Cali W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Dep. Cali W Clean Sheet 68%
Indep. Santa Fe W Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dep. Cali W Indep. Santa Fe W
Matches Played 33 33
Wins 22 15
Draws 6 9
Losses 5 9
Goals Scored 1.79 1.67
Goals Conceded 0.67 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 Liga Women
Dep. Cali W vs Indep. Santa Fe W
4:2
Sep 24, 2026 Liga Women
Indep. Santa Fe W vs Dep. Cali W
2:3
Sep 9, 2026 Liga Women
Indep. Santa Fe W vs Dep. Cali W
0:0
Aug 29, 2026 Liga Women
Dep. Cali W vs Indep. Santa Fe W
3:0
Mar 23, 2026 Liga Women
Indep. Santa Fe W vs Dep. Cali W
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dep. Cali W Compare

Top Goalscorer Guerra I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Cardenas V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Indep. Santa Fe W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dep. Cali W 95 / 100
Indep. Santa Fe W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dep. Cali W Indep. Santa Fe W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dep. Cali W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Dep. Cali W scored in 82% of their last 33 outings.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Indep. Santa Fe W let in goals in 64% of their last 33 matches.

Recent resilience: Dep. Cali W stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Dep. Cali W VS Indep. Santa Fe W
1.13 Goals Scored 1.63
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Dep. Cali W

(Home)
26 Sept
Dep. Cali W
4 : 2
Indep. Santa Fe W
24 Sept
Indep. Santa Fe W
2 : 3
Dep. Cali W
20 Sept
Dep. Cali W
4 : 0
Atl. Nacional W
16 Sept
Atl. Nacional W
1 : 2
Dep. Cali W
12 Sept
Dep. Cali W
0 : 1
America de Cali W
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Indep. Santa Fe W

(Away)
26 Sept
Dep. Cali W
4 : 2
Indep. Santa Fe W
24 Sept
Indep. Santa Fe W
2 : 3
Dep. Cali W
20 Sept
Millonarios W
1 : 2
Indep. Santa Fe W
18 Sept
Indep. Santa Fe W
2 : 2
Millonarios W
12 Sept
Orsomarso W
1 : 2
Indep. Santa Fe W
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Millonarios W 6 3 3 0 9:5 12
2 Atl. Nacional W 6 3 0 3 10:8 9
3 Inter Palmira W 6 2 1 3 7:12 7
4 Inter Bogotá W 6 1 2 3 6:7 5
Promotion - Liga Women (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dep. Cali W 6 3 2 1 6:2 11
2 Indep. Santa Fe W 6 3 2 1 7:5 11
3 America de Cali W 6 3 1 2 8:5 10
4 Orsomarso W 6 0 1 5 2:11 1
Promotion - Liga Women (Play Offs)