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Dep. Cali W vs Indep. Santa Fe W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Colombia Colombia

Liga Women Estadio Deportivo Cali, Palmira
Dep. Cali W Logo

Dep. Cali W

4 - 2
FT
Indep. Santa Fe W Logo

Indep. Santa Fe W

Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Zamorano M.
Assist: Marcano T.
20' Event
Aponza M.
42' Event
Guerra I.
Assist: Viancha K.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 4-2. The second leg ended 4-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Dep. Cali W
15%
Draws
31%
Indep. Santa Fe W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Dep. Cali W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Dep. Cali W come out ahead of Indep. Santa Fe W on wins alone.
  • Dep. Cali W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Dep. Cali W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Dep. Cali W, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Dep. Cali W Clean Sheet 68%
Indep. Santa Fe W Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dep. Cali W Indep. Santa Fe W
Matches Played 31 34
Wins 21 14
Draws 5 10
Losses 5 10
Goals Scored 1.81 1.5
Goals Conceded 0.65 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 Liga Women
Dep. Cali W vs Indep. Santa Fe W
4:2
Sep 24, 2026 Liga Women
Indep. Santa Fe W vs Dep. Cali W
2:3
Sep 9, 2026 Liga Women
Indep. Santa Fe W vs Dep. Cali W
0:0
Aug 29, 2026 Liga Women
Dep. Cali W vs Indep. Santa Fe W
3:0
Mar 23, 2026 Liga Women
Indep. Santa Fe W vs Dep. Cali W
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dep. Cali W Compare

Top Goalscorer Guerra I.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Aponza M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Indep. Santa Fe W Compare

Top Goalscorer Zamorano M.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dep. Cali W 95 / 100
Indep. Santa Fe W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dep. Cali W Indep. Santa Fe W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dep. Cali W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dep. Cali W scored in 81% of their last 31 games.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Dep. Cali W has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Indep. Santa Fe W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 59% of 34 matches.

Scoring Trends

Dep. Cali W VS Indep. Santa Fe W
1.13 Goals Scored 1.63
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Dep. Cali W

(Home)
26 Sept
Dep. Cali W
4 : 2
Indep. Santa Fe W
24 Sept
Indep. Santa Fe W
2 : 3
Dep. Cali W
20 Sept
Dep. Cali W
4 : 0
Atl. Nacional W
16 Sept
Atl. Nacional W
1 : 2
Dep. Cali W
12 Sept
Dep. Cali W
0 : 1
America de Cali W
Page 1 of 7

Indep. Santa Fe W

(Away)
26 Sept
Dep. Cali W
4 : 2
Indep. Santa Fe W
24 Sept
Indep. Santa Fe W
2 : 3
Dep. Cali W
20 Sept
Millonarios W
1 : 2
Indep. Santa Fe W
18 Sept
Indep. Santa Fe W
2 : 2
Millonarios W
12 Sept
Orsomarso W
1 : 2
Indep. Santa Fe W
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Millonarios W 3
Indep. Santa Fe W 4
Dep. Cali W 6
Atl. Nacional W 1
Final
Indep. Santa Fe W 4
Dep. Cali W 7