Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Dep. Cuenca vs Delfin

Ecuador Ecuador

Liga Pro Estadio Alejandro Serrano Aguilar, Cuenca
Our Tip

Match Events

17'
Ushina K.
33'
Ushina K.
55'
Boolsen P.

AI Match Summary

The Liga Pro game between Dep. Cuenca and Delfin finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Dep. Cuenca.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Dep. Cuenca
15%
Draws
21%
Delfin
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Dep. Cuenca

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

21% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Dep. Cuenca come out ahead of Delfin on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular Liga Pro form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.6%
Dep. Cuenca Clean Sheet 19%
Delfin Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dep. Cuenca Delfin
Matches Played 32 28
Wins 10 9
Draws 7 6
Losses 15 13
Goals Scored 0.78 0.82
Goals Conceded 1.25 0.96
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 31, 2026 Liga Pro
Dep. Cuenca vs Delfin
1:0
Feb 22, 2026 Liga Pro
Delfin vs Dep. Cuenca
1:0
Dec 6, 2025 Liga Pro
Dep. Cuenca vs Delfin
0:0
Nov 1, 2025 Liga Pro
Delfin vs Dep. Cuenca
2:0
Jul 13, 2025 Liga Pro
Dep. Cuenca vs Delfin
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dep. Cuenca Compare

Top Goalscorer Lopez A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Delfin Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dep. Cuenca 36 / 100
Delfin 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dep. Cuenca Delfin

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Delfin Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Delfin has conceded goals in 64% of their last 28 outings.

Delfin lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Dep. Cuenca found the back of the net in 59% of recent matches (32 games).

H2H data points to 1.20 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Dep. Cuenca VS Delfin
0.5 Goals Scored 0.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Dep. Cuenca

(Home)
16 Aug
Orense
2 : 0
Dep. Cuenca
11 Aug
Dep. Cuenca
1 : 2
Manta
02 Aug
Independiente del Valle
1 : 0
Dep. Cuenca
28 Jul
Dep. Cuenca
2 : 1
Emelec
22 Jul
Macara
3 : 0
Dep. Cuenca
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Delfin

(Away)
15 Aug
Independiente del Valle
3 : 2
Delfin
09 Aug
Delfin
1 : 1
Orense
04 Aug
LDU Quito
2 : 1
Delfin
26 Jul
Delfin
0 : 1
Leones del Norte
21 Jul
Libertad
1 : 0
Delfin
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independiente del Valle 25 21 1 3 61:24 64
2 Macara 24 12 5 7 32:24 41
3 Aucas 25 12 5 8 29:26 41
4 U. Catolica 24 11 6 7 39:21 39
5 LDU Quito 25 11 5 9 24:20 38
6 Barcelona SC 25 9 9 7 25:20 36
7 Leones del Norte 25 9 8 8 26:25 35
8 Libertad 25 9 7 9 28:29 34
9 Mushuc Runa 25 8 8 9 32:34 32
10 Emelec 25 8 8 9 21:29 32
11 Dep. Cuenca 25 9 4 12 22:32 31
12 Guayaquil City 25 7 9 9 22:27 30
13 Orense 25 8 6 11 30:36 30
14 Tecnico U. 25 8 2 15 21:34 26
15 Delfin 25 6 6 13 17:27 24
16 Manta 25 4 5 16 11:32 17
Promotion - Liga Pro (Championship Group)
Promotion - Liga Pro (Placement Group)
Relegation - Liga Pro (Relegation Group)