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Dep. Cuenca vs Guayaquil City

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

57' Event
62' Event
87' Event
Ordonez J.

AI Match Summary

Dep. Cuenca host Guayaquil City in the Club Friendly. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Guayaquil City have shipped 1.5 goals a game lately, while Dep. Cuenca have conceded 0.88 and scored 0.75. Head-to-head, Dep. Cuenca have won 4 to Guayaquil City's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on May 9, 2026, ending 0:1. The numbers (1.13 xG vs 0.88) point toward Dep. Cuenca. Dep. Cuenca in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Dep. Cuenca
30%
Draws
34%
Guayaquil City
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Dep. Cuenca

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Dep. Cuenca has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Guayaquil City.
  • Model forecasts a 36% win probability edge for Dep. Cuenca.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Club Friendly provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 37%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Dep. Cuenca Clean Sheet 20%
Guayaquil City Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dep. Cuenca Guayaquil City
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 12 9
Draws 6 7
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 0.75 0.88
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Liga Pro
Guayaquil City vs Dep. Cuenca
0:1
Feb 8, 2026 Club Friendly
Dep. Cuenca vs Guayaquil City
2:1
Sep 16, 2023 Liga Pro
Guayaquil City vs Dep. Cuenca
0:0
Apr 15, 2023 Liga Pro
Dep. Cuenca vs Guayaquil City
4:1
Jul 12, 2022 Liga Pro
Dep. Cuenca vs Guayaquil City
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dep. Cuenca Compare

Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Guayaquil City Compare

Top Goalscorer Ordonez J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dep. Cuenca 36 / 100
Guayaquil City 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dep. Cuenca Guayaquil City

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dep. Cuenca scored in 68% of their last 28 games.

Guayaquil City let in goals in 71% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Dep. Cuenca went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Guayaquil City lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Dep. Cuenca VS Guayaquil City
0.75 Goals Scored 0.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
38% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%