Sport Picks
Dep. Cuenca vs Leones del Norte
Ecuador
Liga Pro Estadio Alejandro Serrano Aguilar 
AI Match Summary
Dep. Cuenca play Leones del Norte in the Liga Pro. It looks like a close match. Recently, Dep. Cuenca averaged 1.09 goals scored and 1.13 conceded. Leones del Norte averaged 1 goals scored and 0.96 conceded. In past meetings, Dep. Cuenca won 0, Leones del Norte won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Mar 14, 2026 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.94 for Dep. Cuenca and 1.13 for Leones del Norte. This points to a Dep. Cuenca double chance or over markets.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Dep. Cuenca picked up more points recently compared to Leones del Norte.
- Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.94 vs 1.13 xG).
- Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Dep. Cuenca | Leones del Norte |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 28 |
| Wins | 13 | 9 |
| Draws | 7 | 10 |
| Losses | 12 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.09 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.13 | 0.96 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.88 | 0.88 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Dep. Cuenca Compare
Leones del Norte Compare
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Value Bet Detector (+EV)
Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds
Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations
Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Dep. Cuenca scored in 69% of their last 32 games.
Leones del Norte let in goals in 64% of their last 28 matches.
Games between these two average 2.00 goals.
Dep. Cuenca went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Leones del Norte lost 1 of their last 5 games.
Interactive Team Comparison Slider
Side-by-side comparison of team metrics
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independiente del Valle | 17 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 36:18 | 40 |
| 2 | Barcelona SC | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 20:13 | 29 |
| 3 | Aucas | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 20:16 | 29 |
| 4 | LDU Quito | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 19:14 | 27 |
| 5 | Dep. Cuenca | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 18:19 | 27 |
| 6 | U. Catolica | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 28:17 | 26 |
| 7 | Tecnico U. | 17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 19:17 | 23 |
| 8 | Macara | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 16:18 | 23 |
| 9 | Emelec | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 14:17 | 23 |
| 10 | Orense | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 22:24 | 22 |
| 11 | Mushuc Runa | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 22:23 | 21 |
| 12 | Leones del Norte | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 18:19 | 20 |
| 13 | Guayaquil City | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 14:20 | 19 |
| 14 | Delfin | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 9:16 | 17 |
| 15 | Libertad | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 17:25 | 17 |
| 16 | Manta | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 7:23 | 12 |