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Dep. Cuenca vs Mushuc Runa - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ecuador Ecuador

Liga Pro Estadio Alejandro Serrano Aguilar, Cuenca
Dep. Cuenca Logo

Dep. Cuenca

1 - 1
FT
Mushuc Runa Logo

Mushuc Runa

Our Tip

Match Events

23'
Sub
Cusme J. In: Carabali F.
Out: Cusme J.
27'
Davila E.
46'
Sub
Gonzalez D. In: Diaz M.
Out: Gonzalez D.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Liga Pro matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Dep. Cuenca
35%
Draws
24%
Mushuc Runa
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Dep. Cuenca

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Mushuc Runa have won more games recently than Dep. Cuenca.
  • Dep. Cuenca are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Dep. Cuenca Clean Sheet 68%
Mushuc Runa Clean Sheet 21%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dep. Cuenca Mushuc Runa
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 7 9
Draws 8 10
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 0.66 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Liga Pro
Dep. Cuenca vs Mushuc Runa
1:1
Aug 22, 2026 Liga Pro
Dep. Cuenca vs Mushuc Runa
0:0
Apr 25, 2026 Liga Pro
Mushuc Runa vs Dep. Cuenca
4:1
Jun 28, 2025 Liga Pro
Dep. Cuenca vs Mushuc Runa
1:0
Mar 1, 2025 Liga Pro
Mushuc Runa vs Dep. Cuenca
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dep. Cuenca Compare

Top Goalscorer Guevara E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Mushuc Runa Compare

Top Goalscorer Tufino R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dep. Cuenca 50 / 100
Mushuc Runa 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dep. Cuenca Mushuc Runa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dep. Cuenca Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mushuc Runa's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Dep. Cuenca went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Dep. Cuenca's goal record stands at 55% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Dep. Cuenca VS Mushuc Runa
0.63 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.63
50% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Dep. Cuenca

(Home)
20 Sept
Dep. Cuenca
1 : 1
Mushuc Runa
13 Sept
LDU Quito
1 : 1
Dep. Cuenca
07 Sept
Dep. Cuenca
0 : 1
Libertad
02 Sept
Dep. Cuenca
1 : 0
Guayaquil City
29 Aug
Tecnico U.
3 : 1
Dep. Cuenca
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Mushuc Runa

(Away)
09 Oct
Delfin
3 : 2
Mushuc Runa
20 Sept
Dep. Cuenca
1 : 1
Mushuc Runa
12 Sept
Guayaquil City
3 : 1
Mushuc Runa
08 Sept
Mushuc Runa
1 : 1
Leones del Norte
02 Sept
LDU Quito
0 : 0
Mushuc Runa
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
11 Mushuc Runa 32 9 12 11 38:42 39
12 Dep. Cuenca 31 10 7 14 26:38 37
13 Orense 31 9 6 16 37:49 33
14 Tecnico U. 32 10 3 19 29:44 33
15 Delfin 32 8 8 16 23:34 32
16 Manta 32 7 6 19 20:43 27
Relegation - Serie B 2027 (Main)