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Dep. Cuenca vs Tecnico U. - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ecuador Ecuador

Liga Pro Estadio Alejandro Serrano Aguilar, Cuenca
Fri, Oct 16, 2026
VS
08:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Dep. Cuenca host Tecnico U. in the Liga Pro. This one's hard to separate. Dep. Cuenca have averaged 0.72 scored and 1.24 conceded recently, against Tecnico U.'s 0.93 scored and 1.45 conceded. Head-to-head, Dep. Cuenca have won 3 to Tecnico U.'s 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Aug 29, 2026, ending 3:1. Model xG sits at 1.38 vs 1.13, favoring Dep. Cuenca. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Dep. Cuenca
30%
Draws
41%
Tecnico U.
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Tecnico U.

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Tecnico U. lately — more wins on the board than Dep. Cuenca.
  • 29% — that's where the model lands on Dep. Cuenca taking it.
  • Regular Liga Pro form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Dep. Cuenca Clean Sheet 20%
Tecnico U. Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dep. Cuenca Tecnico U.
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 10
Draws 8 1
Losses 13 18
Goals Scored 0.72 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Liga Pro
Tecnico U. vs Dep. Cuenca
3:1
May 2, 2026 Liga Pro
Dep. Cuenca vs Tecnico U.
2:1
Sep 14, 2025 Liga Pro
Tecnico U. vs Dep. Cuenca
0:2
May 17, 2025 Liga Pro
Dep. Cuenca vs Tecnico U.
2:0
Oct 5, 2024 Liga Pro
Dep. Cuenca vs Tecnico U.
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dep. Cuenca 40 / 100
Tecnico U. 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dep. Cuenca Tecnico U.

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dep. Cuenca Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Tecnico U. conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Dep. Cuenca has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Dep. Cuenca scored in 59% of their last 29 games.

Scoring Trends

Dep. Cuenca VS Tecnico U.
0.5 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.25
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Dep. Cuenca

(Home)
20 Sept
Dep. Cuenca
1 : 1
Mushuc Runa
13 Sept
LDU Quito
1 : 1
Dep. Cuenca
07 Sept
Dep. Cuenca
0 : 1
Libertad
02 Sept
Dep. Cuenca
1 : 0
Guayaquil City
29 Aug
Tecnico U.
3 : 1
Dep. Cuenca
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Tecnico U.

(Away)
20 Sept
Tecnico U.
1 : 1
Delfin
13 Sept
Leones del Norte
0 : 1
Tecnico U.
05 Sept
Tecnico U.
1 : 3
LDU Quito
01 Sept
Delfin
1 : 0
Tecnico U.
29 Aug
Tecnico U.
3 : 1
Dep. Cuenca
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
11 Mushuc Runa 31 9 12 10 36:39 39
12 Dep. Cuenca 31 10 7 14 26:38 37
13 Orense 31 9 6 16 37:49 33
14 Tecnico U. 31 10 3 18 29:43 33
15 Delfin 31 7 8 16 20:32 29
16 Manta 31 6 6 19 19:43 24
Relegation - Serie B 2027 (Main)