Sport Picks
Dep. Cuenca vs U. Catolica
Ecuador
Liga Pro Estadio Alejandro Serrano Aguilar, Cuenca 
Match Events
34'
34'
Alonso M.
Assist: Martinez F.
46'
46'
Sub
Erique Villigua Y. H. In: Arboleda C.
Out: Erique Villigua Y. H.
46'
46'
Sub
Chacon J. In: Maccari M.
Out: Chacon J.
AI Match Summary
U. Catolica in this Liga Pro matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored U. Catolica.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
26%
35%
39%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: U. Catolica
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
39%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to U. Catolica lately — more wins on the board than Dep. Cuenca.
- 39% — that's where the model lands on U. Catolica taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- U. Catolica have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Dep. Cuenca Clean Sheet 10%
U. Catolica Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Dep. Cuenca | U. Catolica |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 28 |
| Wins | 9 | 13 |
| Draws | 6 | 7 |
| Losses | 15 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 0.73 | 1.82 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.3 | 1.11 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.88 | 1.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 18, 2026 Liga Pro
Dep. Cuenca vs U. Catolica
0:2
Mar 17, 2026 Liga Pro
U. Catolica vs Dep. Cuenca
1:0
Sep 28, 2025 Liga Pro
U. Catolica vs Dep. Cuenca
2:1
Jun 1, 2025 Liga Pro
Dep. Cuenca vs U. Catolica
3:1
Aug 18, 2024 Liga Pro
Dep. Cuenca vs U. Catolica
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Dep. Cuenca Compare
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44
U. Catolica Compare
Top Goalscorer Alonso M.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Dep. Cuenca 14 / 100
U. Catolica 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Dep. Cuenca U. Catolica
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick U. Catolica Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
U. Catolica let in goals in 71% of their last 28 matches.
H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.
Dep. Cuenca found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (30 games).
Dep. Cuenca went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Dep. Cuenca VS U. Catolica
0.63 Goals Scored 2.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Dep. Cuenca
(Home) 02 Sept
Dep. Cuenca
1 : 0 Guayaquil City
29 Aug
Tecnico U.
3 : 1 Dep. Cuenca
22 Aug
Dep. Cuenca
0 : 0 Mushuc Runa
16 Aug
Orense
2 : 0 Dep. Cuenca
11 Aug
Dep. Cuenca
1 : 2 Manta
Page 1 of 6
02 Sept
Dep. Cuenca
1 : 0 Guayaquil City
22 Aug
Dep. Cuenca
0 : 0 Mushuc Runa
11 Aug
Dep. Cuenca
1 : 2 Manta
28 Jul
Dep. Cuenca
2 : 1 Emelec
18 Jul
Dep. Cuenca
0 : 2 U. Catolica
Page 1 of 3
U. Catolica
(Away) 03 Sept
U. Catolica
1 : 1 Aucas
29 Aug
Independiente del Valle
2 : 2 U. Catolica
22 Aug
U. Catolica
5 : 1 Manta
18 Aug
Macara
1 : 1 U. Catolica
10 Aug
Libertad
2 : 1 U. Catolica
Page 1 of 6
29 Aug
Independiente del Valle
2 : 2 U. Catolica
18 Aug
Macara
1 : 1 U. Catolica
10 Aug
Libertad
2 : 1 U. Catolica
05 Aug
Vinotinto
2 : 3 U. Catolica
27 Jul
Guayaquil City
0 : 0 U. Catolica
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independiente del Valle | 28 | 22 | 2 | 4 | 67:30 | 68 |
| 2 | Macara | 28 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 39:30 | 48 |
| 3 | Aucas | 28 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 32:27 | 48 |
| 4 | U. Catolica | 28 | 12 | 9 | 7 | 48:26 | 45 |
| 5 | Barcelona SC | 28 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 30:23 | 42 |
| 6 | LDU Quito | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 27:22 | 42 |
| 7 | Leones del Norte | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 30:30 | 38 |
| 8 | Libertad | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 30:31 | 38 |
| 9 | Mushuc Runa | 28 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 33:34 | 37 |
| 10 | Guayaquil City | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 27:31 | 36 |
| 11 | Emelec | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 24:33 | 36 |
| 12 | Dep. Cuenca | 28 | 10 | 5 | 13 | 24:35 | 35 |
| 13 | Orense | 28 | 8 | 6 | 14 | 31:42 | 30 |
| 14 | Tecnico U. | 28 | 9 | 2 | 17 | 26:39 | 29 |
| 15 | Delfin | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 18:29 | 27 |
| 16 | Manta | 28 | 5 | 5 | 18 | 17:41 | 20 |
Promotion - Liga Pro (Championship Group)
Promotion - Liga Pro (Placement Group)
Relegation - Liga Pro (Relegation Group)
