Sport Picks

Ecuador

Liga Pro Estadio Alejandro Serrano Aguilar

U. Catolica

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Dep. Cuenca play U. Catolica in the Liga Pro. It looks like a close match. Recently, Dep. Cuenca averaged 0.75 goals scored and 0.88 conceded. U. Catolica averaged 1.38 goals scored and 1.63 conceded. In past meetings, Dep. Cuenca won 1, U. Catolica won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on Mar 17, 2026 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.19 for Dep. Cuenca and 1.13 for U. Catolica. This points to a Dep. Cuenca double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%

Dep. Cuenca

22%

Draws

60%

U. Catolica

Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: U. Catolica

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence

Dep. Cuenca has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to U. Catolica.
Model forecasts a 60% win probability edge for U. Catolica.
League standings and seasonal metrics in Liga Pro provide steady trend data.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 11%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%

Dep. Cuenca Clean Sheet 20%

U. Catolica Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Dep. Cuenca	U. Catolica
Matches Played	28	28
Wins	13	10
Draws	6	8
Losses	9	10
Goals Scored	0.75	1.38
Goals Conceded	0.88	1.63
Expected Goals (xG)	0.75	1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.88	1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 17, 2026 Liga Pro

U. Catolica vs Dep. Cuenca

Possession: 47% - 42% Cards: 4 - 2

1:0

Sep 28, 2025 Liga Pro

U. Catolica vs Dep. Cuenca

Possession: 46% - 49% Cards: 1 - 3

2:1

Jun 1, 2025 Liga Pro

Dep. Cuenca vs U. Catolica

Possession: 54% - 43% Cards: 2 - 2

3:1

Aug 18, 2024 Liga Pro

Dep. Cuenca vs U. Catolica

Possession: 51% - 48% Cards: 3 - 2

1:2

Mar 17, 2024 Liga Pro

U. Catolica vs Dep. Cuenca

Possession: 43% - 46% Cards: 3 - 3

3:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dep. Cuenca 20 / 100

U. Catolica 56 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Dep. Cuenca U. Catolica

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAT Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dep. Cuenca scored in 71% of their last 28 games.

U. Catolica let in goals in 68% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Dep. Cuenca went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

U. Catolica lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Dep. Cuenca VS U. Catolica

0.75 Goals Scored 1.38

0.88 Goals Conceded 1.63

38% Over 1.5 75%

25% Over 2.5 75%

13% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Independiente del Valle	17	13	1	3	36:18	40
2	Barcelona SC	17	8	5	4	20:13	29
3	Aucas	17	8	5	4	20:16	29
4	LDU Quito	17	8	3	6	19:14	27
5	Dep. Cuenca	17	8	3	6	18:19	27
6	U. Catolica	17	7	5	5	28:17	26
7	Tecnico U.	17	7	2	8	19:17	23
8	Macara	17	6	5	6	16:18	23
9	Emelec	17	6	5	6	14:17	23
10	Orense	17	6	4	7	22:24	22
11	Mushuc Runa	17	5	6	6	22:23	21
12	Leones del Norte	17	5	5	7	18:19	20
13	Guayaquil City	17	5	4	8	14:20	19
14	Delfin	17	4	5	8	9:16	17
15	Libertad	17	4	5	8	17:25	17
16	Manta	17	3	3	11	7:23	12