Sport Picks
Dep. Merlo vs Arsenal Sarandi - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Argentina
Primera B Jose Manuel Moreno Stadium, Buenos Aires 
AI Match Summary
Dep. Merlo host Arsenal Sarandi in the Primera B. This shapes up as a tight, low-scoring affair. Recent numbers: Dep. Merlo at 0.83 goals for, 1.34 against; Arsenal Sarandi at 1.24 for, 0.76 against. Past meetings favor Arsenal Sarandi slightly — 0-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jun 21, 2026, ending 4:2. xG projections (0.50 - 1.19) back Arsenal Sarandi to edge this. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Form's been kind to Arsenal Sarandi lately — more wins on the board than Dep. Merlo.
- 47% — that's where the model lands on Arsenal Sarandi taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Dep. Merlo | Arsenal Sarandi |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 7 | 14 |
| Draws | 10 | 9 |
| Losses | 12 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 0.83 | 1.24 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.34 | 0.76 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.50 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 6.00 goals per match.
Dep. Merlo has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Dep. Merlo scored in 52% of their last 29 games.
Arsenal Sarandi's defensive record shows goals conceded in 55% of 29 matches.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Dep. Merlo
(Home)Arsenal Sarandi
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Excursionistas | 41 | 24 | 9 | 8 | 68:31 | 81 |
| 2 | Arsenal Sarandi | 41 | 21 | 13 | 7 | 55:27 | 76 |
| 3 | Talleres Remedios Escalada | 41 | 20 | 11 | 10 | 46:26 | 71 |
| 4 | Sportivo Italiano | 41 | 19 | 12 | 10 | 47:33 | 69 |
| 5 | Villa Dalmine | 41 | 18 | 14 | 9 | 40:27 | 68 |
| 6 | Deportivo Camioneros | 41 | 18 | 13 | 10 | 48:34 | 67 |
| 7 | Real Pilar | 41 | 18 | 11 | 12 | 44:40 | 65 |
| 8 | Deportivo Armenio | 41 | 17 | 11 | 13 | 42:39 | 62 |
| 9 | Laferrere | 41 | 15 | 13 | 13 | 50:52 | 58 |
| 10 | Comunicaciones | 41 | 14 | 15 | 12 | 39:35 | 57 |
| 11 | San Martin Burzaco | 41 | 12 | 15 | 14 | 41:46 | 51 |
| 12 | Villa San Carlos | 41 | 12 | 14 | 15 | 40:45 | 50 |
| 13 | Flandria | 41 | 13 | 9 | 19 | 39:49 | 48 |
| 14 | Dep. Merlo | 41 | 11 | 15 | 15 | 39:54 | 48 |
| 15 | Argentino de Merlo | 41 | 12 | 11 | 18 | 37:44 | 47 |
| 16 | Argentino de Quilmes | 41 | 10 | 17 | 14 | 33:40 | 47 |
| 17 | Dock Sud | 41 | 11 | 14 | 16 | 41:49 | 47 |
| 18 | Defensores Unidos | 41 | 10 | 15 | 16 | 34:40 | 45 |
| 19 | CSD Liniers | 41 | 10 | 15 | 16 | 34:43 | 45 |
| 20 | Brown Adrogue | 41 | 9 | 16 | 16 | 25:38 | 43 |
| 21 | UAI Urquiza | 41 | 7 | 21 | 13 | 25:36 | 42 |
| 22 | Ituzaingo | 41 | 1 | 14 | 26 | 28:67 | 17 |
