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Dep. Merlo vs Defensores Unidos - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Argentina Argentina

Primera B Jose Manuel Moreno Stadium, Buenos Aires
Our Tip

Match Events

19'
Figueroa T.
63'
Sub
Paez A. M. In: Hernandez R.
Out: Paez A. M.
71'
Sombra A.

AI Match Summary

The Primera B game between Dep. Merlo and Defensores Unidos finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Dep. Merlo
30%
Draws
41%
Defensores Unidos
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Defensores Unidos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Defensores Unidos have managed 0.79 goals a game lately — Dep. Merlo are scoring more at 0.86.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular Primera B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 23%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Dep. Merlo Clean Sheet 20%
Defensores Unidos Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dep. Merlo Defensores Unidos
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 7 7
Draws 11 9
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 0.86 0.79
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 0.38 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Primera B
Dep. Merlo vs Defensores Unidos
0:0
Apr 25, 2026 Primera B
Defensores Unidos vs Dep. Merlo
1:1
Sep 10, 2022 Primera B
Dep. Merlo vs Defensores Unidos
2:2
May 14, 2022 Primera B
Defensores Unidos vs Dep. Merlo
0:1
Oct 24, 2021 Primera B
Defensores Unidos vs Dep. Merlo
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dep. Merlo 32 / 100
Defensores Unidos 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dep. Merlo Defensores Unidos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Defensores Unidos conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Dep. Merlo went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Dep. Merlo scored in 55% of their last 29 games.

Scoring Trends

Dep. Merlo VS Defensores Unidos
0.38 Goals Scored 1
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.38
25% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Dep. Merlo

(Home)
10 Oct
Laferrere
1 : 1
Dep. Merlo
05 Oct
Dep. Merlo
0 : 0
Brown Adrogue
26 Sept
Deportivo Armenio
1 : 0
Dep. Merlo
20 Sept
Dep. Merlo
2 : 1
Flandria
13 Sept
Argentino de Quilmes
1 : 0
Dep. Merlo
Page 1 of 6

Defensores Unidos

(Away)
10 Oct
Flandria
1 : 0
Defensores Unidos
03 Oct
Defensores Unidos
1 : 1
Argentino de Quilmes
25 Sept
Ituzaingo
0 : 1
Defensores Unidos
18 Sept
Comunicaciones
2 : 0
Defensores Unidos
12 Sept
Defensores Unidos
3 : 0
Dock Sud
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Excursionistas 39 23 8 8 63:30 77
2 Arsenal Sarandi 39 20 12 7 53:26 72
3 Talleres Remedios Escalada 39 19 11 9 41:24 68
4 Sportivo Italiano 38 18 11 9 45:28 65
5 Villa Dalmine 39 17 14 8 39:24 65
6 Deportivo Camioneros 39 17 13 9 44:30 64
7 Deportivo Armenio 39 17 10 12 42:38 61
8 Real Pilar 38 17 10 11 42:38 61
9 Comunicaciones 39 14 14 11 39:34 56
10 Laferrere 39 13 13 13 47:51 52
11 San Martin Burzaco 39 12 14 13 40:44 50
12 Dock Sud 38 11 14 13 40:42 47
13 Villa San Carlos 39 11 14 14 37:43 47
14 Dep. Merlo 39 10 15 14 37:52 45
15 Argentino de Merlo 38 11 11 16 33:39 44
16 Argentino de Quilmes 39 9 17 13 32:39 44
17 CSD Liniers 39 10 14 15 32:40 44
18 Flandria 39 11 9 19 35:48 42
19 Defensores Unidos 39 9 14 16 33:40 41
20 Brown Adrogue 38 8 15 15 24:37 39
21 UAI Urquiza 38 5 20 13 21:35 35
22 Ituzaingo 39 1 13 25 27:64 16
Promotion - Primera Nacional 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Primera B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Primera C 2027 (Apertura)