Sport Picks
Dep. Merlo vs Dock Sud
Argentina
Primera B Jose Manuel Moreno Stadium, Buenos Aires 
Match Events
49'
49'
Villalba B.
53'
53'
Villalba B.
63'
63'
Sub
Velasco A. In: Maguicha D.
Out: Velasco A.
AI Match Summary
The Primera B game between Dep. Merlo and Dock Sud finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Dock Sud.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
16%
30%
54%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Dock Sud
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
54%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Dock Sud come out ahead of Dep. Merlo on wins alone.
- Dock Sud are the model's pick here, at 60%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Dep. Merlo Clean Sheet 18%
Dock Sud Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Dep. Merlo | Dock Sud |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 7 | 9 |
| Draws | 11 | 10 |
| Losses | 10 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 0.96 | 1.14 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.39 | 1.11 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 26, 2026 Primera B
Dep. Merlo vs Dock Sud
1:2
Apr 16, 2026 Primera B
Dock Sud vs Dep. Merlo
1:1
Oct 18, 2025 Primera B
Dock Sud vs Dep. Merlo
1:1
May 31, 2025 Primera B
Dep. Merlo vs Dock Sud
0:0
Aug 11, 2024 Primera B
Dock Sud vs Dep. Merlo
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Dep. Merlo Compare
Top Goalscorer Quinteros E.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5
Dock Sud Compare
Top Goalscorer Villalba B.
1 Goals Assists Leader Gomez G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Dep. Merlo 20 / 100
Dock Sud 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Dep. Merlo Dock Sud
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Dock Sud Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Dep. Merlo scored in 61% of their last 28 outings.
Defensive concern: Dock Sud conceded in 64% of 28 recent games.
Games between these two average 1.60 goals.
Dep. Merlo went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Dep. Merlo VS Dock Sud
0.38 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
50% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Dep. Merlo
(Home) 13 Sept
Argentino de Quilmes
1 : 0 Dep. Merlo
05 Sept
Dep. Merlo
0 : 0 Defensores Unidos
31 Aug
Comunicaciones
1 : 0 Dep. Merlo
26 Aug
Dep. Merlo
1 : 2 Dock Sud
22 Aug
Ituzaingo
0 : 0 Dep. Merlo
Page 1 of 6
05 Sept
Dep. Merlo
0 : 0 Defensores Unidos
26 Aug
Dep. Merlo
1 : 2 Dock Sud
08 Aug
Dep. Merlo
0 : 4 Sportivo Italiano
25 Jul
Dep. Merlo
1 : 2 Villa San Carlos
14 Jul
Dep. Merlo
3 : 2 Real Pilar
Page 1 of 3
Dock Sud
(Away) 12 Sept
Defensores Unidos
3 : 0 Dock Sud
06 Sept
Dock Sud
0 : 1 Comunicaciones
29 Aug
Ituzaingo
0 : 2 Dock Sud
26 Aug
Dep. Merlo
1 : 2 Dock Sud
23 Aug
Dock Sud
2 : 2 Deportivo Camioneros
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Defensores Unidos
3 : 0 Dock Sud
29 Aug
Ituzaingo
0 : 2 Dock Sud
26 Aug
Dep. Merlo
1 : 2 Dock Sud
15 Aug
Sportivo Italiano
4 : 0 Dock Sud
02 Aug
Villa San Carlos
1 : 1 Dock Sud
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Excursionistas | 36 | 21 | 8 | 7 | 56:29 | 71 |
| 2 | Arsenal Sarandi | 36 | 18 | 12 | 6 | 48:24 | 66 |
| 3 | Deportivo Camioneros | 36 | 17 | 12 | 7 | 42:24 | 63 |
| 4 | Talleres Remedios Escalada | 35 | 18 | 9 | 8 | 37:19 | 63 |
| 5 | Villa Dalmine | 36 | 17 | 12 | 7 | 38:21 | 63 |
| 6 | Sportivo Italiano | 36 | 16 | 11 | 9 | 41:27 | 59 |
| 7 | Real Pilar | 36 | 16 | 10 | 10 | 40:35 | 58 |
| 8 | Deportivo Armenio | 36 | 15 | 9 | 12 | 38:38 | 54 |
| 9 | Comunicaciones | 36 | 14 | 11 | 11 | 38:33 | 53 |
| 10 | Laferrere | 36 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 43:47 | 48 |
| 11 | San Martin Burzaco | 36 | 11 | 14 | 11 | 35:37 | 47 |
| 12 | Dock Sud | 35 | 10 | 13 | 12 | 38:38 | 43 |
| 13 | Argentino de Merlo | 35 | 10 | 11 | 14 | 30:35 | 41 |
| 14 | Villa San Carlos | 35 | 9 | 13 | 13 | 35:39 | 40 |
| 15 | CSD Liniers | 35 | 9 | 13 | 13 | 29:35 | 40 |
| 16 | Argentino de Quilmes | 35 | 9 | 13 | 13 | 29:36 | 40 |
| 17 | Dep. Merlo | 35 | 9 | 13 | 13 | 34:49 | 40 |
| 18 | Flandria | 35 | 10 | 8 | 17 | 31:43 | 38 |
| 19 | Defensores Unidos | 36 | 8 | 13 | 15 | 31:38 | 37 |
| 20 | Brown Adrogue | 36 | 7 | 14 | 15 | 21:37 | 35 |
| 21 | UAI Urquiza | 36 | 4 | 19 | 13 | 18:33 | 31 |
| 22 | Ituzaingo | 36 | 1 | 12 | 23 | 23:58 | 15 |
Promotion - Primera Nacional 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Primera B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Primera C 2027 (Apertura)
