Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Dep. Pasto vs America De Cali

Colombia Colombia

Primera A Estadio Departamental Libertad
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Estupinan A.
Assist: Serje Orozco E. C.
25'
Velasco E.
25'
Machis D.

AI Match Summary

The Primera A game between Dep. Pasto and America De Cali finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Dep. Pasto.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Dep. Pasto
33%
Draws
40%
America De Cali
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: America De Cali

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Dep. Pasto carry the better recent record into this one.
  • America De Cali are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Primera A form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 87%
Over 1.5 Goals 77.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Dep. Pasto Clean Sheet 11%
America De Cali Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dep. Pasto America De Cali
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 14 13
Draws 7 7
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 1.4 1.38
Goals Conceded 2.2 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.40 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.20 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 10, 2026 Primera A
Dep. Pasto vs America De Cali
2:0
Sep 25, 2025 Primera A
Dep. Pasto vs America De Cali
0:2
Feb 8, 2025 Primera A
America De Cali vs Dep. Pasto
1:1
Nov 7, 2024 Primera A
Dep. Pasto vs America De Cali
3:1
Apr 19, 2024 Primera A
America De Cali vs Dep. Pasto
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dep. Pasto Compare

Top Goalscorer Estupinan A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Cordoba S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.7

America De Cali Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dep. Pasto 27 / 100
America De Cali 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dep. Pasto America De Cali

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AME Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dep. Pasto found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

America De Cali has conceded goals in 61% of their last 28 outings.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Dep. Pasto has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Dep. Pasto VS America De Cali
1.4 Goals Scored 1.38
2.2 Goals Conceded 0.88
80% Over 1.5 75%
60% Over 2.5 38%
40% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Atl. Nacional19131535:1540
2Junior19112631:2435
3Dep. Pasto19104529:2534
4America De Cali19103625:1533
5Once Caldas1989231:2233
6Deportes Tolima1987427:1731
7Santa Fe1978429:2229
8Inter Bogotá1977526:2628
9Dep. Cali1976620:1627
10Millonarios1975731:2326
11Ind. Medellin1975726:2426
12Aguilas Doradas1975720:2526
13Bucaramanga1958626:2023
14Llaneros19410517:2022
15Fortaleza C.E.I.F.1957722:2722
16Jaguares de Cordoba19531120:3318
17Alianza1938813:2717
18Chico19521215:3217
19Cucuta1937922:3516
20Dep. Pereira19171115:3210