Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Dep. Pasto vs Chico

Colombia Colombia

Primera A Estadio Departamental Libertad, Pasto
Our Tip

Match Events

19'
Estupinan A.
24'
Ruiz D.
34'
Arroyo F.

AI Match Summary

Dep. Pasto in this Primera A matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Dep. Pasto.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Dep. Pasto
17%
Draws
70%
Chico
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Chico

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Chico haven't matched Dep. Pasto's recent run of results.
  • Chico are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular Primera A form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.200000000000003%
Dep. Pasto Clean Sheet 15%
Chico Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dep. Pasto Chico
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 14 7
Draws 4 5
Losses 10 16
Goals Scored 1.13 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.88 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 18, 2026 Primera A
Dep. Pasto vs Chico
2:0
Sep 5, 2025 Primera A
Dep. Pasto vs Chico
2:0
Jul 26, 2025 Primera A
Chico vs Dep. Pasto
2:2
Mar 22, 2025 Primera A
Chico vs Dep. Pasto
0:0
Feb 12, 2025 Primera A
Dep. Pasto vs Chico
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dep. Pasto Compare

Top Goalscorer Perlaza J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Chico Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dep. Pasto 15 / 100
Chico 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dep. Pasto Chico

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CHI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dep. Pasto's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Chico has conceded goals in 71% of their last 28 outings.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Chico's recent record shows 1 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Dep. Pasto VS Chico
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Dep. Pasto

(Home)
25 Jul
Ind. Medellin
3 : 2
Dep. Pasto
22 Jul
Dep. Pasto
0 : 1
Bogota
13 May
Dep. Pasto
0 : 2
Deportes Tolima
09 May
Deportes Tolima
1 : 0
Dep. Pasto
03 May
Junior
4 : 3
Dep. Pasto
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Chico

(Away)
27 May
Chico
0 : 1
Llaneros
23 May
Millonarios
2 : 2
Chico
16 May
Chico
4 : 0
Atletico F.C.
07 May
Patriotas
0 : 0
Chico
02 May
Chico
3 : 0
Llaneros
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Atl. Nacional19131535:1540
2Junior19112631:2435
3Dep. Pasto19104529:2534
4America De Cali19103625:1533
5Once Caldas1989231:2233
6Deportes Tolima1987427:1731
7Santa Fe1978429:2229
8Inter Bogotá1977526:2628
9Dep. Cali1976620:1627
10Millonarios1975731:2326
11Ind. Medellin1975726:2426
12Aguilas Doradas1975720:2526
13Bucaramanga1958626:2023
14Llaneros19410517:2022
15Fortaleza C.E.I.F.1957722:2722
16Jaguares de Cordoba19531120:3318
17Alianza1938813:2717
18Chico19521215:3217
19Cucuta1937922:3516
20Dep. Pereira19171115:3210
Promotion - Primera A (Apertura - Play Offs)